RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg prediction
BundesligaRound 9
RB Leipzig15:30
Sat 7 Nov
Prediction T-24h
FC AugsburgMost likelyRB Leipzig win · 50%
Prediction
50%1RB Leipzig
28%XDraw
22%2FC Augsburg
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 14 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
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Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
RB Leipzig
- W1-0PE
- W6-0EF
- L0-2BL
- W5-0HS
- L1-4COM
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
FC Augsburg
- D2-2BM
- L2-3WB
- D2-2BL
- W4-1EF
- W3-0FS0
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
RB Leipzig
No reported absences.
FC Augsburg
No reported absences.
Head to head
RB Leipzig 3Draws 1FC Augsburg 0
- RL 2-1 FA
- FA 0-6 RL
- FA 0-0 RL
- RL 4-0 FA
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
RB Leipzig
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.1last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.8last 10
- xG for / game
- 2.10last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.67last 9
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.9last 10
- Shots
- 16.9last 10
- Shots on target
- 6.2last 10
- Fouls
- 10.0last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.6last 10
Key players
- B. Gruda1G 0A1 apps
FC Augsburg
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.6last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.86last 10
- xG against / game
- 2.59last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 9 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.1last 10
- Shots
- 13.6last 10
- Shots on target
- 6.0last 10
- Fouls
- 8.6last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.4last 10
Line movement
RB Leipzig—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
FC Augsburg—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a RB Leipzig result here, shaped mainly by Defensive xG form (away) and Rest-days edge. The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Defensive xG form (away)2.97Rest-days edge-3.23Fixture congestion (home)0.00Pi-rating edge0.68Defensive xG form (home)2.52Attacking xG form (away)1.91
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.