Real Betis vs FC Porto prediction
UEFA Champions LeagueRound League Stage - 2Estadio de la Cartuja
Real Betis21:00
Wed 14 Oct
Prediction T-24h
FC PortoMost likelyReal Betis win · 44%
Best price2.12 Dafabet
Prediction
44%1Real Betismarket 47%
28%XDrawmarket 25%
28%2FC Portomarket 28%
Real Betis-2.3 ppDraw+3.0 ppFC Porto-0.7 pp
Market-anchored: consensus (book median) + model lean (max ±3 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Real Betispays 2% more than the typical book | Drawpays 4% more than the typical book | FC Portopays 10% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.75 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 2.07 | 3.80 | 3.30 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.75 | 3.40 |
| Betvictor | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.12best | 3.70 | 3.35 |
| Marathonbet | 2.04 | 3.70 | 3.54 |
| Onexbet | 2.10 | 3.80 | 3.64best |
| Pinnacle | 2.11 | 3.84best | 3.33 |
| Sbo | 2.08 | 3.18 | 3.01 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.30 |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
Two ways to size a hypothetical stake on the model's call — Real Betis at 2.12 (Dafabet).
units
Stays in your browser — never sent to us.
Follow sizing
10.00units
Flat 1% of bankroll — the same rule as our public AI bankroll simulation.
Edge sizing
0 — no edge at this price
Quarter-Kelly at the best listed price, with a hard 5%-of-bankroll cap.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Real Betis
- W5-2OSA
- D1-1DLC
- W1-0GET
- W2-1VIL
- W3-2LIL
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
FC Porto
- W2-1MAR
- W3-1BEN
- W4-1CP
- L0-2MC
- W2-1MOR
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Real Betis
No reported absences.
FC Porto
No reported absences.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Real Betis
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.72last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.76last 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.0last 10
- Shots
- 18.0last 10
- Shots on target
- 6.5last 10
- Fouls
- 10.3last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.6last 10
Key players
- Isco2G 0A1 apps
- J. A. Morante1G 0A1 apps
- Abdessamad Ezzalzouli1G 0A1 apps
FC Porto
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.1last 10
- Conceded / game
- 0.6last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.91last 10
- xG against / game
- 0.99last 10
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.4last 10
- Shots
- 14.9last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.8last 10
- Fouls
- 13.2last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.3last 7
Venue
- Venue
- Estadio de la Cartuja, Seville
Line movement
Real Betis—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
FC Porto—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Real Betis result here, shaped mainly by League id and Recent form (away). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
League id2.00Recent form (away)8.63Pi-rating edge-0.49Away form (away)10.6What's at stake (away)0.03Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-39.3
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.