Real Betis vs Rayo Vallecano prediction
La LigaRound 14
Real Betis17:00
Sun 29 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
Rayo VallecanoMost likelyReal Betis win · 57%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Real Betis win
Oddbert gives Real Betis a 57% chance of winning.
57%Real Betis
24%Draw
19%Rayo Vallecano
In 100 matches like this, Real Betis would win about 57. In the other 43 or so, Real Betis doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Real Betis win 57, Draw 24, Rayo Vallecano win 19.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
57%1Real BetisReal Betis win
24%XDrawDraw
19%2Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Match previewSummary
Real Betis meet Rayo Vallecano. The model leans toward Real Betis, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Expected goals (home). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Real Betis (57%), doesn't happen in about 43 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Real Betis
- W2-0ELC
- L1-2BD
- W2-1MAL
- D0-0CV
- W1-0FEY
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Rayo Vallecano
- L0-1RS
- W3-0CV
- L0-3ELC
- D1-1GET
- D1-1OSA
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Real Betis
Absence data is not available for this match.
Rayo Vallecano
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Real Betis 0Draws 4Rayo Vallecano 0
- RB 1-1 RV
- RV 0-0 RB
- RV 2-2 RB
- RB 1-1 RV
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Real Betis
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.3last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.54last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.47last 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.5last 10
- Shots
- 16.6last 10
- Shots on target
- 6.2last 10
- Fouls
- 10.7last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.9last 10
Key players
- Isco4G 1A9 apps
- A. Ezzalzouli4G 1A10 apps
- C. Hernandez2G 1A5 apps
Rayo Vallecano
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.4last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.32last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.60last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.6last 10
- Shots
- 15.2last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.0last 10
- Fouls
- 11.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.3last 10
Key players
- Sergio Camello7G 2A10 apps
- Jorge de Frutos2G 2A8 apps
- Álvaro García2G 2A9 apps
Line movement
Real Betis—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Rayo Vallecano—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans toward Real Betis, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Expected goals (home). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Pi-rating edge0.65Expected goals (home)1.86League id140What's at stake (away)0.00Home advantage (team-tuned)94.5Away form (away)1.96
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.