Real Sociedad vs Levante prediction
La LigaRound 10Anoeta Stadium
Real Sociedad18:30
Sun 25 Oct
Prediction T-24h
LevanteMost likelyReal Sociedad win · 54%
Best price1.76 Onexbet
Prediction
54%1Real Sociedadmarket 57%
24%XDrawmarket 23%
22%2Levantemarket 20%
Real Sociedad-3.0 ppDraw+1.4 ppLevante+1.6 pp
Market-anchored: consensus (book median) + model lean (max ±3 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Real Sociedadpays 3% more than the typical book | Drawpays 6% more than the typical book | Levantepays 5% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.50 |
| Betano | 1.72 | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| Marathonbet | 1.71 | 4.15 | 4.60 |
| Onexbet | 1.76best | 4.26best | 4.72best |
| Pinnacle | 1.69 | 4.11 | 4.53 |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.80 | 4.20 |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
Two ways to size a hypothetical stake on the model's call — Real Sociedad at 1.76 (Onexbet).
units
Stays in your browser — never sent to us.
Follow sizing
10.00units
Flat 1% of bankroll — the same rule as our public AI bankroll simulation.
Edge sizing
0 — no edge at this price
Quarter-Kelly at the best listed price, with a hard 5%-of-bankroll cap.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Real Sociedad
- W3-2DLC
- W3-2VAL
- L0-3AM
- W3-2ELC
- D0-0CV
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Levante
- L1-3VIL
- L2-4BAR
- D0-0MAL
- W5-2RB
- D0-0OSA
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Real Sociedad
No reported absences.
Levante
No reported absences.
Head to head
Real Sociedad 1Draws 1Levante 0
- RS 2-0 LEV
- LEV 1-1 RS
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Real Sociedad
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.0last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.24last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.77last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.6last 10
- Shots
- 12.3last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.7last 10
- Fouls
- 13.1last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.4last 10
Levante
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.7last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.8last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.75last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.71last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.0last 10
- Shots
- 14.3last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.0last 10
- Fouls
- 9.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.4last 10
Venue
- Venue
- Anoeta Stadium, San Sebastian
Line movement
Real Sociedad—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Levante—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Real Sociedad result here, shaped mainly by Rest-days edge and Pi-rating edge. The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Rest-days edge-20.9Pi-rating edge0.22Attacking xG form (away)1.54Defensive xG form (away)2.19Fixture congestion (away)0.00Home form (home)5.33
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.