Real Sociedad vs Sevilla prediction
La LigaRound 14
Real Sociedad17:00
Sun 29 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
SevillaMost likelyReal Sociedad win · 49%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Real Sociedad win
Oddbert gives Real Sociedad a 49% chance of winning.
49%Real Sociedad
25%Draw
26%Sevilla
In 100 matches like this, Real Sociedad would win about 49. In the other 51 or so, Real Sociedad doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Real Sociedad win 49, Draw 25, Sevilla win 26.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
49%1Real SociedadReal Sociedad win
25%XDrawDraw
26%2SevillaSevilla win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Match previewSummary
Real Sociedad meet Sevilla. The model leans toward Real Sociedad, shaped mainly by Attacking xG form (home) and Pi-rating edge. See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Real Sociedad (49%), doesn't happen in about 51 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Real Sociedad
- W1-0RV
- D1-1LYO
- L1-2AC
- W2-1LEV
- W6-0LIL
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Sevilla
- D0-0ALA
- L1-3GET
- W2-0OSA
- L1-4RM
- D3-3LEV
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Real Sociedad
Absence data is not available for this match.
Sevilla
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Real Sociedad 2Draws 0Sevilla 2
- SEV 1-0 RS
- RS 2-1 SEV
- RS 0-1 SEV
- SEV 0-2 RS
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Real Sociedad
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.4last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.3last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.76last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.63last 9
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.5last 10
- Shots
- 15.0last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.8last 10
- Fouls
- 12.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.1last 10
Key players
- O. Óskarsson5G 0A9 apps
- Mikel Oyarzabal2G 3A9 apps
- L. Sučić4G 0A9 apps
Sevilla
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.7last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.03last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.32last 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.7last 10
- Shots
- 12.7last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.5last 10
- Fouls
- 14.0last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.3last 10
Key players
- Félix Correia2G 2A8 apps
- Y. Fofana1G 3A9 apps
- R. Ure1G 2A10 apps
Line movement
Real Sociedad—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Sevilla—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans toward Real Sociedad, shaped mainly by Attacking xG form (home) and Pi-rating edge. This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Attacking xG form (home)1.72Pi-rating edge0.44Expected goals (home)2.11League id140What's at stake (away)0.00Expected goals (away)1.36
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.