Real Sociedad W vs Athletic Club W prediction
Primera División FemeninaWomenRound 11
Real Sociedad W12:00
Sun 15 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
Athletic Club WMost likelyReal Sociedad W win · 53%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Real Sociedad W win
Oddbert gives Real Sociedad W a 53% chance of winning.
53%Real Sociedad W
24%Draw
23%Athletic Club W
In 100 matches like this, Real Sociedad W would win about 53. In the other 47 or so, Real Sociedad W doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Real Sociedad W win 53, Draw 24, Athletic Club W win 23.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
53%1Real Sociedad WReal Sociedad W win
24%XDrawDraw
23%2Athletic Club WAthletic Club W win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
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Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Real Sociedad W (53%), doesn't happen in about 47 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Real Sociedad W
- W2-1EW
- D1-1DAW
- D1-1EW
- W2-1BW
- W1-0VW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Athletic Club W
- D1-1RMW
- L0-2GTW
- D0-0SW
- W1-0VW
- D2-2MCW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Real Sociedad W
Absence data is not available for this match.
Athletic Club W
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Real Sociedad W 2Draws 1Athletic Club W 3
- ACW 0-2 RSW
- RSW 1-1 ACW
- ACW 2-0 RSW
- RSW 1-0 ACW
- RSW 0-1 ACW
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Real Sociedad W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.3last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.4last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.0last 1
- Shots
- 4.0last 1
- Shots on target
- 2.0last 1
- Fouls
- 11.0last 1
- Yellow cards
- 3.0last 1
Athletic Club W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.3last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.1last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Line movement
Real Sociedad W—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Athletic Club W—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a Real Sociedad W result here; the model's main factors are Expected goals (home) and Expected goals (away). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Expected goals (home)1.60Expected goals (away)0.94Goal correlation0.04
This is a baseline, not our full model: it is our own simple model on its own, and the factors above describe it. A baseline claims no edge over the market.