Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus prediction
UEFA Europa LeagueRound League Stage - 4
Rennes18:45
Thu 5 Nov
Prediction T-24h
Olympiakos PiraeusMost likelyRennes win · 46%
Prediction
46%1Rennes
33%XDraw
21%2Olympiakos Piraeus
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 15 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Rennes
- W2-1OFI
- W4-1AUX
- L0-4LYO
- D0-0SG
- W1-0MAR
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Olympiakos Piraeus
- W1-0MAR
- W2-1JAG
- L1-2NN
- D0-0NN
- D0-0BL
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Rennes
No reported absences.
Olympiakos Piraeus
No reported absences.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Rennes
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.7last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.5last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.89last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.90last 9
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 7.3last 10
- Shots
- 19.1last 10
- Shots on target
- 6.3last 10
- Fouls
- 12.0last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.6last 10
Key players
- A. Ait Boudlal1G 0A1 apps
- M. Nagida1G 0A1 apps
Olympiakos Piraeus
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 0.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.23last 8
- xG against / game
- 1.30last 8
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 3 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.8last 10
- Shots
- 13.1last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.0last 10
- Fouls
- 11.3last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.9last 10
Key players
- S. Hezze1G 0A1 apps
- Chiquinho0G 1A1 apps
Line movement
Rennes—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Olympiakos Piraeus—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Rennes result here, shaped mainly by Defensive xG form (away) and Defensive xG form (home). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Defensive xG form (away)2.84Defensive xG form (home)2.11Attacking xG form (away)2.10Pi-rating edge0.26What's at stake (home)0.00Away form (away)6.69
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.