Rennes vs Stade Brestois 29 prediction
Ligue 1Round 13Roazhon Park
Rennes17:00
Sat 5 Dec
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
Stade Brestois 29Most likelyRennes win · 51%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Rennes win
Oddbert gives Rennes a 51% chance of winning.
51%Rennes
25%Draw
24%Stade Brestois 29
In 100 matches like this, Rennes would win about 51. In the other 49 or so, Rennes doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Rennes win 51, Draw 25, Stade Brestois 29 win 24.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
51%1RennesRennes win
25%XDrawDraw
24%2Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29 win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Match previewSummary
Rennes meet Stade Brestois 29. The model leans toward Rennes, shaped mainly by Attacking xG form (home) and Expected goals (home). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Rennes (51%), doesn't happen in about 49 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Rennes
- L1-2LIL
- D0-0OP
- L2-5NIC
- W3-0STR
- D2-2JUV
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Stade Brestois 29
- W2-0LYO
- W2-0LOR
- L1-2NIC
- D1-1LIL
- W5-1ANG
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Rennes
Absence data is not available for this match.
Stade Brestois 29
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Rennes 2Draws 1Stade Brestois 29 1
- SB2 3-4 REN
- REN 3-1 SB2
- REN 1-2 SB2
- SB2 1-1 REN
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Rennes
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.7last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.84last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.83last 9
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.5last 10
- Shots
- 16.7last 10
- Shots on target
- 6.1last 10
- Fouls
- 11.3last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.8last 10
Key players
- B. Dia6G 0A10 apps
- E. Lepaul4G 0A5 apps
- S. Szymański3G 0A8 apps
Stade Brestois 29
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.86last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.21last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.0last 10
- Shots
- 16.1last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.8last 10
- Fouls
- 14.5last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.4last 10
Key players
- L. Ajorque5G 1A10 apps
- K. Doumbia4G 2A10 apps
- P. Mboup2G 1A10 apps
Venue
- Venue
- Roazhon Park, Rennes
- Surface
- Grass
- Capacity
- 31,127
Line movement
Rennes—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Stade Brestois 29—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans toward Rennes, shaped mainly by Attacking xG form (home) and Expected goals (home). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Attacking xG form (home)1.63Expected goals (home)2.26What's at stake (home)0.15Pi-rating edge0.52Home advantage (team-tuned)90.5What's at stake (away)0.03
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.