Rep. Of Ireland vs Kosovo prediction
UEFA Nations LeagueRound League B - 6
Rep. Of Ireland20:45
Tue 17 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
KosovoMost likelyRep. Of Ireland win · 50%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Rep. Of Ireland win
Oddbert gives Rep. Of Ireland a 50% chance of winning.
50%Rep. Of Ireland
26%Draw
24%Kosovo
In 100 matches like this, Rep. Of Ireland would win about 50. In the other 50 or so, Rep. Of Ireland doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Rep. Of Ireland win 50, Draw 26, Kosovo win 24.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
50%1Rep. Of IrelandRep. Of Ireland winmarket 51%
26%XDrawDrawmarket 26%
24%2KosovoKosovo winmarket 23%
Our model vs market
Rep. Of Ireland -0.5 ppDraw -0.4 ppKosovo +1.0 pp
Our blended model differs from the price here. This is our own view, not a validated edge — we show it openly, but we don't claim it beats the market until it has done so out-of-time.
Market-anchored: the market's vig-free price (1 book's price) + model lean (max ±15 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Rep. Of Ireland (50%), doesn't happen in about 50 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Rep. Of Ireland
- D1-1ISR
- D2-2AUS
- W3-0ISR
- L0-1KOS
- D1-1CAN
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Kosovo
- D1-1AUS
- D0-0ISR
- L1-3AUS
- W1-0ROI
- W3-0AND
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Rep. Of Ireland
Absence data is not available for this match.
Kosovo
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Rep. Of Ireland 0Draws 0Kosovo 1
- KOS 1-0 ROI
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Rep. Of Ireland
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 0.9last 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Key players
- T. Parrott8G 0A9 apps
- J. Moylan4G 2A6 apps
- A. Idah1G 2A8 apps
Kosovo
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.4last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.1last 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Key players
Player data from 8 of 10 matches
- F. Asllani3G 0A8 apps
- M. Vojvoda0G 3A8 apps
- Florent Muslija2G 0A4 apps
Line movement
Rep. Of Ireland—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Kosovo—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a Rep. Of Ireland result here; the model's main factors are International Elo (home) and Home advantage (Elo points). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
International Elo (home)1642Home advantage (Elo points)80.0
This is a market-anchored baseline, not our full model: the forecast is mostly the bookmakers' price with the margin removed, plus a small share from our own simple model. The factors above describe that share only. A baseline claims no edge over the market.