Roma W vs Servette Chênois W prediction
UEFA Champions League WomenRound League Stage - 4
Roma W2–1
FinalFinal
Servette Chênois WOddbert's view
This call was made before kick-off.
Most likely: Roma W win
Oddbert gives Roma W a 81% chance of winning.
81%Roma W
12%Draw
7%Servette Chênois W
In 100 matches like this, Roma W would win about 81. In the other 19 or so, Roma W doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Roma W win 81, Draw 12, Servette Chênois W win 7.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
81%1Roma WRoma W winmarket 83%
12%XDrawDrawmarket 11%
7%2Servette Chênois WServette Chênois W winmarket 6%
Our model vs market
Roma W -1.4 ppDraw +0.3 ppServette Chênois W +1.2 pp
Our blended model differs from the price here. This is our own view, not a validated edge — we show it openly, but we don't claim it beats the market until it has done so out-of-time.
Market-anchored: the market's vig-free price (median of 10 books) + model lean (max ±15 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 10 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
The highlighted price is the highest among the bookmakers with a Danish licence.
Words explained:
| Bookmaker | Roma Wpays 3% more than the typical book | Drawpays 2% more than the typical book | Servette Chênois W |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.22best | 6.25 | 11.00 |
| Betano | 1.21 | 6.20 | 11.00 |
| Betfair | 1.15 | 6.50 | 10.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.14 | 6.65best | 11.00best |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Verdict
Oddbert gave Roma W 81% — the match ended 2–1.
The most likely result happened.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Roma W
- W4-0C1W
- W2-1NW
- L0-2CW
- W5-2JW
- W4-2AMW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Servette Chênois W
- W5-1OLW
- L1-5KW
- L0-8LW
- W3-0SPW
- L2-3SPW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Roma W
Absence data is not available for this match.
Servette Chênois W
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Roma W 2Draws 0Servette Chênois W 0
- SCW 2-7 RW
- RW 3-1 SCW
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Roma W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.3last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.5last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.98last 5
- xG against / game
- 1.23last 5
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.1last 7
- Shots
- 15.4last 7
- Shots on target
- 4.9last 7
- Fouls
- 7.7last 7
- Yellow cards
- 0.8last 6
Servette Chênois W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.3last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.7last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.69last 1
- xG against / game
- 0.35last 1
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 9 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 2.2last 4
- Shots
- 7.0last 3
- Shots on target
- 4.0last 4
- Fouls
- 11.0last 4
- Yellow cards
- 2.4last 5
Referee profile
- Referee
- Catarina Isabel Ferreira Campos
- Yellows / game
- 0.0
- Matches officiated
- 1
Line movement
Roma W82%
Sat 7 Nov – Tue 10 Nov+1.6 pp
Draw11%
Sat 7 Nov – Tue 10 Nov-0.5 pp
Servette Chênois W6%
Sat 7 Nov – Tue 10 Nov-1.1 pp
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a Roma W result here; the model's main factors are Expected goals (home) and Expected goals (away). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Expected goals (home)3.94Expected goals (away)1.93Goal correlation-0.20
This is a market-anchored baseline, not our full model: the forecast is mostly the bookmakers' price with the margin removed, plus a small share from our own simple model. The factors above describe that share only. A baseline claims no edge over the market.
Verdict
PredictedRoma W
ActualRoma W
RPS0.0206lower is better
CLV—
Words explained: