Sassuolo vs Fiorentina prediction
Serie ARound 10
Sassuolo18:30
Mon 2 Nov
Prediction T-24h
FiorentinaMost likelySassuolo win · 47%
Prediction
47%1Sassuolo
28%XDraw
25%2Fiorentina
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Sassuolo | Fiorentina |
|---|
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No best price is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Sassuolo
- D1-1AM
- L1-2MON
- W3-2JUV
- D2-2BOL
- W2-1TOR
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Fiorentina
- L1-2GEN
- D1-1NAP
- W4-2VEN
- L1-2TOR
- L0-3FRO
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Sassuolo
No reported absences.
Fiorentina
No reported absences.
Head to head
Sassuolo 1Draws 1Fiorentina 0
- FIO 0-0 SAS
- SAS 3-1 FIO
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Sassuolo
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.5last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.6last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.67last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.33last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.6last 10
- Shots
- 14.3last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.7last 10
- Fouls
- 10.3last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.9last 9
Key players
- C. Odenthal1G 0A1 apps
Fiorentina
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.0last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.21last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.42last 9
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.0last 10
- Shots
- 13.5last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.1last 10
- Fouls
- 11.1last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.1last 8
Line movement
Sassuolo—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Fiorentina—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Sassuolo result here, shaped mainly by Attacking xG form (away) and Fixture congestion (home). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Attacking xG form (away)2.83Fixture congestion (home)0.00Defensive xG form (away)1.97Home form (home)8.46Pi-rating edge0.17League id135
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.