SC Braga vs KuPS prediction
UEFA Conference LeagueRound League Stage - 4
SC Braga21:00
Thu 26 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
KuPSMost likelySC Braga win · 65%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: SC Braga win
Oddbert gives SC Braga a 65% chance of winning.
65%SC Braga
24%Draw
11%KuPS
In 100 matches like this, SC Braga would win about 65. In the other 35 or so, SC Braga doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: SC Braga win 65, Draw 24, KuPS win 11.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
65%1SC BragaSC Braga win
24%XDrawDraw
11%2KuPSKuPS win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for SC Braga (65%), doesn't happen in about 35 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
SC Braga
- W1-0RA
- D0-0AAR
- W3-0FAM
- L0-1NAC
- W2-0GEN
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
KuPS
- D0-0GEN
- L0-2BBL
- L2-4TRA
- W1-0SR
- D1-1SR
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
SC Braga
Absence data is not available for this match.
KuPS
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
SC Braga
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 0.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.41last 10
- xG against / game
- 0.83last 10
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 10
- BTTS
- 2 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.5last 10
- Shots
- 15.9last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.3last 10
- Fouls
- 14.3last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.9last 10
Key players
- Víctor Gómez1G 2A10 apps
- Pau Victor2G 0A10 apps
- Ricardo Horta2G 0A10 apps
KuPS
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.5last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.79last 3
- xG against / game
- 1.94last 3
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 2 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.7last 9
- Shots
- 9.5last 6
- Shots on target
- 2.9last 9
- Fouls
- 15.5last 6
- Yellow cards
- 2.0last 9
Key players
Player data from 3 of 10 matches
- Petteri Pennanen1G 0A3 apps
Line movement
SC Braga—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
KuPS—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a SC Braga result here; the model's main factors are Pi-rating edge and Attacking xG form (home). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Pi-rating edge0.90Attacking xG form (home)1.73Defensive xG form (away)1.66Expected goals (away)0.38Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)304Attacking xG form (away)0.77
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.