SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04 prediction
BundesligaRound 11
SC Paderborn 0715:30
Sat 28 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
FC Schalke 04Most likelySC Paderborn 07 win · 51%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: SC Paderborn 07 win
Oddbert gives SC Paderborn 07 a 51% chance of winning.
51%SC Paderborn 07
28%Draw
21%FC Schalke 04
In 100 matches like this, SC Paderborn 07 would win about 51. In the other 49 or so, SC Paderborn 07 doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: SC Paderborn 07 win 51, Draw 28, FC Schalke 04 win 21.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
51%1SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 07 win
28%XDrawDraw
21%2FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 04 win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Match previewSummary
SC Paderborn 07 meet FC Schalke 04. The model leans toward SC Paderborn 07, shaped mainly by Rest-days edge and Pi-rating edge. See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for SC Paderborn 07 (51%), doesn't happen in about 49 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
SC Paderborn 07
- D2-2EF
- D0-0BM
- W1-0HS
- D2-2WB
- L0-2VS
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
FC Schalke 04
- L1-21H
- L0-2RL
- D0-01FK
- L0-1FM0
- L1-2SF
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
SC Paderborn 07
Absence data is not available for this match.
FC Schalke 04
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
SC Paderborn 07
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.10last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.53last 9
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.0last 10
- Shots
- 16.1last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.1last 10
- Fouls
- 11.0last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.6last 10
Key players
- S. Tigges2G 1A10 apps
- S. Marino2G 0A10 apps
- L. Curda1G 1A10 apps
FC Schalke 04
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.6last 9
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 9
- xG for / game
- 1.15last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.91last 9
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 9
- BTTS
- 3 / 9
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 9
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.3last 9
- Shots
- 11.0last 9
- Shots on target
- 3.2last 9
- Fouls
- 10.3last 9
- Yellow cards
- 1.2last 9
Key players
- J. Adamu1G 1A7 apps
- A. Aouchiche1G 0A9 apps
- M. Wober1G 0A6 apps
Line movement
SC Paderborn 07—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
FC Schalke 04—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans toward SC Paderborn 07, shaped mainly by Rest-days edge and Pi-rating edge. This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Rest-days edge1.17Pi-rating edge0.07What's at stake (home)0.23Defensive xG form (away)1.71Attacking xG form (home)1.45Expected goals (away)0.34
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.