Scotland vs FYR Macedonia prediction
UEFA Nations LeagueRound League B - 5Hampden Park Stadium
Scotland20:45
Fri 13 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
FYR MacedoniaMost likelyScotland win · 80%
Best price1.21 Marathonbet
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Scotland win
Oddbert gives Scotland a 80% chance of winning.
80%Scotland
14%Draw
6%FYR Macedonia
In 100 matches like this, Scotland would win about 80. In the other 20 or so, Scotland doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Scotland win 80, Draw 14, FYR Macedonia win 6.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
80%1ScotlandScotland winmarket 82%
14%XDrawDrawmarket 13%
6%2FYR MacedoniaFYR Macedonia winmarket 5%
Our model vs market
Scotland -2.6 ppDraw +1.1 ppFYR Macedonia +1.5 pp
Our blended model differs from the price here. This is our own view, not a validated edge — we show it openly, but we don't claim it beats the market until it has done so out-of-time.
Market-anchored: the market's vig-free price (median of 10 books) + model lean (max ±15 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Match previewSummary
Scotland meet FYR Macedonia. Our forecast (a blend of the market price and our model) leans toward Scotland; the model's main factors are Elo difference and Home advantage (Elo points). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
The highlighted price is the highest among the bookmakers with a Danish licence.
Words explained:
| Bookmaker | Scotlandpays 2% more than the typical book | Drawpays 9% more than the typical book | FYR Macedoniapays 3% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.18 | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| Betano | 1.20 | 6.30 | 16.50 |
| Betfair | 1.15 | 7.00best | 16.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.21best | 6.40 | 16.50best |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
Two ways to size a hypothetical stake on the model's call — Scotland at 1.21 (Marathonbet).
units
Stays in your browser — never sent to us.
Follow sizing
10.00units
Flat 1% of bankroll — the same rule as our public AI bankroll simulation.
Edge sizing
Not sized — the model behind this prediction has not beaten the closing market out-of-time (see Transparency). We don't size stakes off an edge we don't claim to have.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Scotland
- L1-2SLO
- W2-0FM
- L0-3SWI
- D0-0SLO
- L0-3BRA
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
FYR Macedonia
- L0-3SWI
- L0-2SCO
- L0-2SLO
- L0-3SWI
- L0-4TRK
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Scotland
Absence data is not available for this match.
FYR Macedonia
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Scotland 1Draws 0FYR Macedonia 0
- FM 0-2 SCO
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Scotland
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.1last 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 2 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Key players
- Lawrence Shankland3G 1A4 apps
- R. Christie2G 1A9 apps
- J. McGinn2G 0A9 apps
FYR Macedonia
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.1last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.5last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 1 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Key players
Player data from 8 of 10 matches
- Bojan Miovski1G 0A7 apps
- Darko Velkovski0G 1A3 apps
Weather
- Temperature
- 5°C
- Conditions
- Rain
- Wind
- 11 km/h
Weather data from OpenWeather, used under the Open Database License (ODbL).
Venue
- Venue
- Hampden Park Stadium, Glasgow
- Surface
- Grass
- Capacity
- 52,500
Line movement
Scotland—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
FYR Macedonia—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast (a blend of the market price and our model) leans toward Scotland; the model's main factors are Elo difference and Home advantage (Elo points). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Elo difference200Home advantage (Elo points)80.0
This is a market-anchored baseline, not our full model: the forecast is mostly the bookmakers' price with the margin removed, plus a small share from our own simple model. The factors above describe that share only. A baseline claims no edge over the market.