Sevilla vs Osasuna prediction
La LigaRound 10Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán
Sevilla21:00
Mon 26 Oct
Prediction T-24h
OsasunaMost likelySevilla win · 43%
Prediction
43%1Sevilla
29%XDraw
28%2Osasuna
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Sevilla | Osasuna |
|---|
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No best price is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Sevilla
- D3-3LEV
- L1-3BAR
- W1-0DLC
- W1-0VAL
- D1-1ESP
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Osasuna
- L2-5RB
- D1-1RV
- L0-4AM
- L0-2ESP
- L2-5ALA
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Sevilla
No reported absences.
Osasuna
No reported absences.
Head to head
Sevilla 1Draws 1Osasuna 2
- OSA 2-1 SEV
- SEV 1-0 OSA
- OSA 1-0 SEV
- SEV 1-1 OSA
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Sevilla
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.3last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.4last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.02last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.36last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.2last 10
- Shots
- 11.8last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.2last 10
- Fouls
- 15.6last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.9last 10
Key players
- R. Ure1G 1A1 apps
- Isaac1G 0A1 apps
- Félix Correia1G 0A1 apps
Osasuna
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.1last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.25last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.36last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.8last 10
- Shots
- 11.2last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.5last 10
- Fouls
- 14.1last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.5last 10
Key players
- Raúl García de Haro1G 0A1 apps
- Ante Budimir1G 0A1 apps
- Rubén García0G 1A1 apps
Venue
- Venue
- Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, Seville
Line movement
Sevilla—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Osasuna—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Sevilla result here, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Defensive xG form (away). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Pi-rating edge0.26Defensive xG form (away)2.10Recent form (home)4.52Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)75.1Away form (away)1.72Home form (home)6.20
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.