Sevilla W vs Atletico Madrid W prediction
Primera División FemeninaWomenRound 11Estadio Jesus Navas
Sevilla W16:00
Sun 15 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
Atletico Madrid WMost likelyAtletico Madrid W win · 62%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Atletico Madrid W win
Oddbert gives Atletico Madrid W a 62% chance of winning.
18%Sevilla W
20%Draw
62%Atletico Madrid W
In 100 matches like this, Atletico Madrid W would win about 62. In the other 38 or so, Atletico Madrid W doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Sevilla W win 18, Draw 20, Atletico Madrid W win 62.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
18%1Sevilla WSevilla W win
20%XDrawDraw
62%2Atletico Madrid WAtletico Madrid W win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Atletico Madrid W (62%), doesn't happen in about 38 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Sevilla W
- D2-2ELW
- L1-3RMW
- D0-0ACW
- D1-1DAW
- D3-3FLB
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Atletico Madrid W
- W3-0FLB
- D1-1GRA
- W4-0VW
- W4-0MCW
- W2-1DDL
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Sevilla W
Absence data is not available for this match.
Atletico Madrid W
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Sevilla W 1Draws 2Atletico Madrid W 3
- SW 2-1 AMW
- AMW 2-2 SW
- AMW 1-0 SW
- SW 1-2 AMW
- SW 1-1 AMW
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Sevilla W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.1last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.6last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Atletico Madrid W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 10
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Venue
- Venue
- Estadio Jesus Navas, Sevilla
- Surface
- Grass
- Capacity
- 7,000
Line movement
Sevilla W—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Atletico Madrid W—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a Atletico Madrid W result here; the model's main factors are Expected goals (away) and Expected goals (home). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Expected goals (away)1.98Expected goals (home)0.95Goal correlation0.04
This is a baseline, not our full model: it is our own simple model on its own, and the factors above describe it. A baseline claims no edge over the market.