Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens FC prediction
UEFA Champions LeagueRound League Stage - 2Stamford Bridge
Shakhtar Donetsk21:00
Wed 14 Oct
Prediction T-24h
AEK Athens FCPrediction
34%1Shakhtar Donetskmarket 36%
33%XDrawmarket 27%
33%2AEK Athens FCmarket 37%
Shakhtar Donetsk-2.6 ppDraw+6.0 ppAEK Athens FC-3.5 pp
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Shakhtar Donetskpays 6% more than the typical book | Drawpays 6% more than the typical book | AEK Athens FCpays 7% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.60 | 3.50 | 2.62 |
| Betano | 2.65 | 3.40 | 2.62 |
| Betfair | 2.70 | 3.60best | 2.55 |
| Betvictor | 2.60 | 3.40 | 2.55 |
| Dafabet | 2.65 | 3.50 | 2.65 |
| Marathonbet | 2.74 | 3.48 | 2.56 |
| Onexbet | 2.82best | 3.58 | 2.63 |
| Pinnacle | 2.67 | 3.38 | 2.75best |
| Sbo | 2.50 | 3.12 | 2.44 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.30 | 2.50 |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Shakhtar Donetsk
- D1-1PE
- L1-3BD
- W2-0SB2
- L1-5BM
- L2-3PE
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
AEK Athens FC
- W1-0LL
- W4-0LS
- D0-0LS
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Shakhtar Donetsk
No reported absences.
AEK Athens FC
No reported absences.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Shakhtar Donetsk
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.0last 9
- Conceded / game
- 1.9last 9
- xG for / game
- 1.06last 8
- xG against / game
- 1.94last 8
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 9
- BTTS
- 5 / 9
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 9
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.8last 9
- Shots
- 9.3last 9
- Shots on target
- 2.7last 9
- Fouls
- 11.1last 9
- Yellow cards
- 2.1last 9
AEK Athens FC
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.7last 3
- Conceded / game
- 0.0last 3
- xG for / game
- 1.71last 1
- xG against / game
- 0.72last 1
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 3
- BTTS
- 0 / 3
- Over 2.5
- 1 / 3
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.0last 3
- Shots
- 16.0last 3
- Shots on target
- 4.0last 3
- Fouls
- 13.3last 3
- Yellow cards
- 2.0last 2
Venue
- Venue
- Stamford Bridge, London
Line movement
Shakhtar Donetsk—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
AEK Athens FC—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
This prediction is grounded in the model factors shown below.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.