Sheffield Utd vs Watford prediction
ChampionshipRound 16Bramall Lane
Sheffield Utd16:00
Sat 21 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
WatfordMost likelySheffield Utd win · 59%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Sheffield Utd win
Oddbert gives Sheffield Utd a 59% chance of winning.
59%Sheffield Utd
22%Draw
19%Watford
In 100 matches like this, Sheffield Utd would win about 59. In the other 41 or so, Sheffield Utd doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Sheffield Utd win 59, Draw 22, Watford win 19.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
Guess the match
Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
Your guesses are saved in this browser only.
Prediction
59%1Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd win
22%XDrawDraw
19%2WatfordWatford win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
Guess the match
Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
Your guesses are saved in this browser only.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Thinking of betting on this match?Help and breaks
Oddbert takes no bets and doesn't link to bookmakers.
Gambling comes at a cost. The bookmaker's margin means bettors as a whole lose over time.
At the bookmaker
- Only bookmakers with a Danish licence may offer betting in Denmark.
- You must be 18+ and register with MitID.
- You must set a deposit limit. Choose an amount you can afford to lose.
Even the most likely result, a win for Sheffield Utd (59%), doesn't happen in about 41 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Sheffield Utd
- L1-2CHA
- W3-2PRE
- W1-0WRE
- D1-1DER
- W1-0BC
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Watford
- D0-0MID
- W1-0LIN
- L2-3NOR
- L0-1WOL
- W2-0CHA
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Sheffield Utd
Absence data is not available for this match.
Watford
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Sheffield Utd 4Draws 0Watford 0
- WAT 0-2 SU
- SU 1-0 WAT
- WAT 1-2 SU
- SU 1-0 WAT
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Sheffield Utd
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.5last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.13last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.19last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.0last 10
- Shots
- 12.4last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.6last 10
- Fouls
- 10.5last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.9last 10
Key players
- Sydie Peck4G 1A10 apps
- P. Bamford3G 0A6 apps
- B. Brereton1G 2A10 apps
Watford
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.7last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.94last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.82last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.9last 10
- Shots
- 11.9last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.7last 10
- Fouls
- 11.5last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.3last 10
Key players
- M. Boadu2G 1A7 apps
- Iker Bravo0G 3A10 apps
- E. Kayembe1G 1A10 apps
Venue
- Venue
- Bramall Lane, Sheffield
- Surface
- Grass
- Capacity
- 32,702
Line movement
Sheffield Utd—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Watford—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a Sheffield Utd result here; the model's main factors are Pi-rating edge and Away form (away). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Pi-rating edge0.72Away form (away)0.26Home advantage (team-tuned)3.71What's at stake (away)0.15Expected goals (home)1.73Expected goals (away)0.86
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.