Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham prediction
ChampionshipRound 13Bramall Lane
Sheffield Utd21:00
Fri 30 Oct
Prediction T-24h
WrexhamMost likelyWrexham win · 40%
Prediction
32%1Sheffield Utd
28%XDraw
40%2Wrexham
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Sheffield Utd | Wrexham |
|---|
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No best price is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Sheffield Utd
- W3-0LIN
- L1-2SC
- L0-1WOL
- W2-1BLA
- L1-3NOR
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Wrexham
- D1-1DER
- W2-1SOU
- L0-6WH
- D1-1BUR
- D0-0SWA
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Sheffield Utd
No reported absences.
Wrexham
No reported absences.
Head to head
Sheffield Utd 0Draws 0Wrexham 2
- SU 1-2 WRE
- WRE 5-3 SU
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Sheffield Utd
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.4last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.99last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.58last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 2.9last 10
- Shots
- 9.1last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.8last 10
- Fouls
- 12.2last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.3last 9
Wrexham
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.5last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.16last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.34last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.3last 10
- Shots
- 12.0last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.9last 10
- Fouls
- 10.6last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.2last 9
Venue
- Venue
- Bramall Lane, Sheffield
Line movement
Sheffield Utd—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Wrexham—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Wrexham result here, shaped mainly by Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage) and What's at stake (home). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-55.1What's at stake (home)0.01Home advantage (team-tuned)-2.14Attacking xG form (away)0.85Defensive xG form (home)1.64Home form (home)5.18
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.