Slavia Praha vs Villarreal prediction
UEFA Champions LeagueRound League Stage - 5
Slavia Praha18:45
Wed 25 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
VillarrealMost likelyVillarreal win · 49%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Villarreal win
Oddbert gives Villarreal a 49% chance of winning.
31%Slavia Praha
20%Draw
49%Villarreal
In 100 matches like this, Villarreal would win about 49. In the other 51 or so, Villarreal doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Slavia Praha win 31, Draw 20, Villarreal win 49.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
31%1Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha win
20%XDrawDraw
49%2VillarrealVillarreal win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Match previewSummary
Slavia Praha meet Villarreal. The model leans toward Villarreal, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Attacking xG form (home). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Villarreal (49%), doesn't happen in about 51 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Slavia Praha
- L1-2ARS
- D2-2FEN
- L0-2SF
- L2-3LEN
- L1-4PAF
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Villarreal
- W2-0GET
- L0-6PSG
- L0-1ESP
- W2-1VAL
- L3-4LIV
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Slavia Praha
Absence data is not available for this match.
Villarreal
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Slavia Praha
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.3last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.34last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.71last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.0last 10
- Shots
- 13.9last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.1last 10
- Fouls
- 15.7last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.6last 10
Key players
- D. Šturm2G 0A4 apps
- L. Provod1G 0A8 apps
- Vasil Kušej1G 0A5 apps
Villarreal
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.6last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.84last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.21last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.3last 10
- Shots
- 17.1last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.0last 10
- Fouls
- 11.0last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.2last 10
Key players
- Alberto Moleiro2G 3A10 apps
- Ayoze Pérez1G 4A10 apps
- G. Mikautadze4G 0A10 apps
Line movement
Slavia Praha—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Villarreal—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans toward Villarreal, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Attacking xG form (home). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Pi-rating edge-0.41Attacking xG form (home)1.94Expected goals (home)1.84Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-183What's at stake (away)0.00What's at stake (home)0.00
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.