Slovakia vs Faroe Islands prediction
UEFA Nations LeagueRound League C - 5Kosicka futbalova arena
Slovakia20:45
Fri 13 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
Faroe IslandsMost likelySlovakia win · 71%
Best price1.38 Betano
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Slovakia win
Oddbert gives Slovakia a 71% chance of winning.
71%Slovakia
19%Draw
10%Faroe Islands
In 100 matches like this, Slovakia would win about 71. In the other 29 or so, Slovakia doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Slovakia win 71, Draw 19, Faroe Islands win 10.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
71%1SlovakiaSlovakia winmarket 72%
19%XDrawDrawmarket 19%
10%2Faroe IslandsFaroe Islands winmarket 9%
Our model vs market
Slovakia -1.2 ppDraw +0.3 ppFaroe Islands +0.9 pp
Our blended model differs from the price here. This is our own view, not a validated edge — we show it openly, but we don't claim it beats the market until it has done so out-of-time.
Market-anchored: the market's vig-free price (median of 10 books) + model lean (max ±15 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Match previewSummary
Slovakia meet Faroe Islands. Our forecast (a blend of the market price and our model) leans toward Slovakia; the model's main factors are Elo difference and Home advantage (Elo points). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
The highlighted price is the highest among the bookmakers with a Danish licence.
Words explained:
| Bookmaker | Slovakiapays 2% more than the typical book | Drawpays 9% more than the typical book | Faroe Islandspays 13% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.36 | 4.50 | 8.50 |
| Betano | 1.38best | 4.75 | 8.75 |
| Betfair | 1.29 | 4.75 | 8.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.35 | 5.05best | 9.60best |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
Two ways to size a hypothetical stake on the model's call — Slovakia at 1.38 (Betano).
units
Stays in your browser — never sent to us.
Follow sizing
10.00units
Flat 1% of bankroll — the same rule as our public AI bankroll simulation.
Edge sizing
Not sized — the model behind this prediction has not beaten the closing market out-of-time (see Transparency). We don't size stakes off an edge we don't claim to have.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Slovakia
- W4-0MOL
- D1-1FI
- W2-1KAZ
- W2-0MOL
- D2-2MON
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Faroe Islands
- D2-2KAZ
- D1-1SLO
- D1-1MOL
- D1-1KAZ
- W2-1SM
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Slovakia
Absence data is not available for this match.
Faroe Islands
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Slovakia 0Draws 1Faroe Islands 0
- FI 1-1 SLO
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Slovakia
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.5last 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Key players
Player data from 7 of 10 matches
- Lukáš Haraslín2G 2A6 apps
- D. Hancko2G 1A7 apps
- D. Strelec2G 0A7 apps
Faroe Islands
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.0last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Key players
Player data from 8 of 10 matches
- Hanus Sørensen3G 0A8 apps
- Á. Frederiksberg1G 2A4 apps
- Géza Dávid Turi2G 0A8 apps
Weather
- Temperature
- 2°C
- Conditions
- Clouds
- Wind
- 3 km/h
Weather data from OpenWeather, used under the Open Database License (ODbL).
Venue
- Venue
- Kosicka futbalova arena, Kosice
- Surface
- Grass
- Capacity
- 12,658
Line movement
Slovakia—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Faroe Islands—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast (a blend of the market price and our model) leans toward Slovakia; the model's main factors are Elo difference and Home advantage (Elo points). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Elo difference192Home advantage (Elo points)80.0
This is a market-anchored baseline, not our full model: the forecast is mostly the bookmakers' price with the margin removed, plus a small share from our own simple model. The factors above describe that share only. A baseline claims no edge over the market.