Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart prediction
UEFA Champions LeagueRound League Stage - 2Tehelne Pole Stadion
Slovan Bratislava21:00
Wed 14 Oct
Prediction T-24h
VfB StuttgartMost likelyVfB Stuttgart win · 73%
Best price1.31 Onexbet
Prediction
11%1Slovan Bratislavamarket 9%
16%XDrawmarket 15%
73%2VfB Stuttgartmarket 76%
Slovan Bratislava+1.8 ppDraw+1.2 ppVfB Stuttgart-3.0 pp
Market-anchored: consensus (book median) + model lean (max ±3 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Slovan Bratislavapays 16% more than the typical book | Drawpays 8% more than the typical book | VfB Stuttgartpays 2% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 11.00best | 6.00 | 1.25 |
| Betano | 10.00 | 5.60 | 1.30 |
| Betfair | 9.00 | 6.00 | 1.30 |
| Betvictor | 9.50 | 6.00 | 1.25 |
| Dafabet | 9.00 | 6.40 | 1.30 |
| Marathonbet | 9.60 | 6.20 | 1.28 |
| Onexbet | 10.00 | 6.48best | 1.31best |
| Pinnacle | 9.47 | 6.16 | 1.29 |
| Sbo | 6.95 | 5.32 | 1.26 |
| William Hill | 8.50 | 5.50 | 1.29 |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
Two ways to size a hypothetical stake on the model's call — VfB Stuttgart at 1.31 (Onexbet).
units
Stays in your browser — never sent to us.
Follow sizing
10.00units
Flat 1% of bankroll — the same rule as our public AI bankroll simulation.
Edge sizing
0 — no edge at this price
Quarter-Kelly at the best listed price, with a hard 5%-of-bankroll cap.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Slovan Bratislava
- L1-6PSG
- W2-1CEL
- D1-1CEL
- W2-0MA
- W2-1MA
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
VfB Stuttgart
- W2-0SP0
- L0-1BD
- L1-21H
- W3-1VIK
- W4-11FK
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Slovan Bratislava
No reported absences.
VfB Stuttgart
No reported absences.
Head to head
Slovan Bratislava 0Draws 0VfB Stuttgart 1
- SB 1-3 VS
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Slovan Bratislava
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.3last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.3last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 3 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.5last 8
- Shots
- 12.5last 8
- Shots on target
- 4.2last 8
- Fouls
- 14.8last 4
- Yellow cards
- 2.5last 8
VfB Stuttgart
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.0last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.7last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.94last 9
- xG against / game
- 2.16last 9
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.7last 10
- Shots
- 16.3last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.8last 10
- Fouls
- 10.5last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.2last 10
Venue
- Venue
- Tehelne Pole Stadion, Bratislava
Line movement
Slovan Bratislava—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
VfB Stuttgart—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a VfB Stuttgart result here, shaped mainly by Attacking xG form (away) and Rest-days edge. The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Attacking xG form (away)3.02Rest-days edge30.8Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-89.7Home advantage (team-tuned)73.5Defensive xG form (home)5.62Pi-rating edge-0.31
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.