Sonderjyske vs Silkeborg prediction
SuperligaRound 11
Sonderjyske14:00
Sun 18 Oct
Prediction T-24h
SilkeborgMost likelySonderjyske win · 40%
Best price2.36 Onexbet
Prediction
40%1Sonderjyskemarket 40%
28%XDrawmarket 25%
32%2Silkeborgmarket 35%
Sonderjyske+0.5 ppDraw+2.5 ppSilkeborg-3.0 pp
Market-anchored: consensus (book median) + model lean (max ±3 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Sonderjyske | Draw | Silkeborg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.80best | 2.63 |
| Marathonbet | 2.36 | 3.66 | 2.64 |
| Onexbet | 2.36best | 3.66 | 2.64best |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
Two ways to size a hypothetical stake on the model's call — Sonderjyske at 2.36 (Onexbet).
units
Stays in your browser — never sent to us.
Follow sizing
10.00units
Flat 1% of bankroll — the same rule as our public AI bankroll simulation.
Edge sizing
0 — no edge at this price
Quarter-Kelly at the best listed price, with a hard 5%-of-bankroll cap.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Sonderjyske
- W4-2RF
- D1-1LYN
- L2-5AH
- L1-3FC
- L0-3FN
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Silkeborg
- D3-3AH
- W4-0LYN
- D1-1VIB
- D2-2AAR
- D1-1FM
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Sonderjyske
No reported absences.
Silkeborg
No reported absences.
Head to head
Sonderjyske 3Draws 0Silkeborg 3
- SON 2-1 SIL
- SIL 0-2 SON
- SIL 1-0 SON
- SON 2-1 SIL
- SON 1-3 SIL
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Sonderjyske
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.3last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.5last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.11last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.92last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.3last 10
- Shots
- 11.6last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.9last 10
- Fouls
- 13.4last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.0last 10
Silkeborg
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.5last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.5last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.25last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.76last 9
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.4last 10
- Shots
- 11.8last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.6last 10
- Fouls
- 8.6last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.3last 9
Line movement
Sonderjyske—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Silkeborg—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Sonderjyske result here, shaped mainly by What's at stake (home) and Defensive xG form (home). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
What's at stake (home)0.28Defensive xG form (home)2.05Defensive xG form (away)2.35Recent form (away)4.77Fixture congestion (home)0.00Attacking xG form (away)2.27
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.