Southampton vs QPR prediction
ChampionshipRound 13
Southampton16:00
Sat 31 Oct
Prediction T-24h
QPRMost likelySouthampton win · 54%
Prediction
54%1Southampton
27%XDraw
19%2QPR
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Southampton | QPR |
|---|
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No best price is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Southampton
- W1-0POR
- L1-2WRE
- W4-1BC
- W3-1SWA
- D1-1LIN
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
QPR
- D1-1WH
- D2-2PRE
- D1-1WB
- D0-0CHA
- L0-1MID
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Southampton
No reported absences.
QPR
No reported absences.
Head to head
Southampton 2Draws 0QPR 0
- SOU 5-0 QPR
- QPR 1-2 SOU
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Southampton
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.1last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.1last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.80last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.27last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 9 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.8last 10
- Shots
- 15.8last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.9last 10
- Fouls
- 9.2last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.1last 10
QPR
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.1last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.1last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.47last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.36last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.8last 10
- Shots
- 15.8last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.0last 10
- Fouls
- 9.5last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.8last 10
Line movement
Southampton—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
QPR—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Southampton result here, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Pi-rating edge0.59Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)265What's at stake (home)0.15Defensive xG form (away)1.44Fixture congestion (away)0.00Home form (home)11.6
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.