Sporting CP vs Academico Viseu prediction
Primeira LigaRound 9
Sporting CP21:30
Sun 25 Oct
Prediction T-24h
Academico ViseuMost likelySporting CP win · 72%
Best price1.18 William Hill
Prediction
72%1Sporting CPmarket 83%
19%XDrawmarket 12%
9%2Academico Viseumarket 5%
Sporting CP-11.5 ppDraw+7.6 ppAcademico Viseu+3.9 pp
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Sporting CPpays 1% more than the typical book | Drawpays 23% more than the typical book | Academico Viseupays 15% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.18 | 6.50 | 13.00 |
| Betfair | 1.15 | 7.50 | 14.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.16 | 7.10 | 13.75 |
| Onexbet | 1.18 | 8.35best | 16.00best |
| William Hill | 1.18best | 6.50 | 15.00 |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
Two ways to size a hypothetical stake on the model's call — Sporting CP at 1.18 (William Hill).
units
Stays in your browser — never sent to us.
Follow sizing
10.00units
Flat 1% of bankroll — the same rule as our public AI bankroll simulation.
Edge sizing
0 — no edge at this price
Quarter-Kelly at the best listed price, with a hard 5%-of-bankroll cap.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Sporting CP
- W3-1SB
- D2-2ARO
- D1-1FAM
- W3-1GAL
- W2-0NAC
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Academico Viseu
- W2-1EST
- W2-0EST
- W2-1VS
- W1-0GV
- L0-3FP
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Sporting CP
No reported absences.
Academico Viseu
No reported absences.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Sporting CP
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.0last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.65last 7
- xG against / game
- 0.85last 7
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.4last 10
- Shots
- 12.6last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.4last 10
- Fouls
- 11.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.1last 10
Academico Viseu
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.4last 8
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 8
- xG for / game
- 1.04last 7
- xG against / game
- 1.84last 7
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 8
- BTTS
- 4 / 8
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 8
Match stats
- Corners
- 2.8last 8
- Shots
- 10.0last 8
- Shots on target
- 3.5last 8
- Fouls
- 14.4last 8
- Yellow cards
- 3.3last 7
Line movement
Sporting CP—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Academico Viseu—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Sporting CP result here, shaped mainly by Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage) and Pi-rating edge. The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)444Pi-rating edge1.25Attacking xG form (home)3.33Defensive xG form (home)1.86Home form (home)9.47Attacking xG form (away)1.52
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.