Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice prediction
Ligue 1Round 8Stade Francis-Le-Blé
Stade Brestois 2920:45
Fri 23 Oct
Prediction T-24h
NiceMost likelyStade Brestois 29 win · 45%
Best price2.31 Onexbet
Prediction
45%1Stade Brestois 29market 43%
28%XDrawmarket 27%
27%2Nicemarket 30%
Stade Brestois 29+1.8 ppDraw+1.2 ppNice-3.0 pp
Market-anchored: consensus (book median) + model lean (max ±3 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Stade Brestois 29pays 3% more than the typical book | Drawpays 3% more than the typical book | Nicepays 10% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 3.60best | 2.88 |
| Marathonbet | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.28 |
| Onexbet | 2.31best | 3.49 | 3.37best |
| Pinnacle | 2.29 | 3.29 | 3.23 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.90 |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
Two ways to size a hypothetical stake on the model's call — Stade Brestois 29 at 2.31 (Onexbet).
units
Stays in your browser — never sent to us.
Follow sizing
10.00units
Flat 1% of bankroll — the same rule as our public AI bankroll simulation.
Edge sizing
5.42units · 0.5% of bankroll
Quarter-Kelly at the best listed price, with a hard 5%-of-bankroll cap.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Stade Brestois 29
- W5-1ANG
- L1-2AUX
- L0-1PSG
- W2-1LH
- D2-2TOU
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Nice
- W2-1STR
- W2-1LIL
- L0-1AUX
- D1-1LM
- L0-3PF
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Stade Brestois 29
No reported absences.
Nice
No reported absences.
Head to head
Stade Brestois 29 1Draws 1Nice 2
- NIC 2-2 SB2
- SB2 4-1 NIC
- NIC 6-0 SB2
- SB2 0-1 NIC
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Stade Brestois 29
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.4last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.7last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.92last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.34last 10
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.8last 10
- Shots
- 16.7last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.3last 10
- Fouls
- 11.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.0last 9
Nice
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.0last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.0last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.23last 8
- xG against / game
- 1.31last 8
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.4last 10
- Shots
- 12.7last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.1last 10
- Fouls
- 8.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.3last 10
Venue
- Venue
- Stade Francis-Le-Blé, Brest
Line movement
Stade Brestois 29—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Nice—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Stade Brestois 29 result here, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Attacking xG form (home). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Pi-rating edge0.26Attacking xG form (home)2.18Home advantage (team-tuned)74.9Recent form (home)4.61Rest-days edge0.76League id61.0
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.