Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC prediction
Ligue 1Round 12Stade Francis-Le-Blé
Stade Brestois 2920:45
Fri 27 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
Paris FCMost likelyParis FC win · 37%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Paris FC win
Oddbert gives Paris FC a 37% chance of winning.
37%Stade Brestois 29
26%Draw
37%Paris FC
In 100 matches like this, Paris FC would win about 37. In the other 63 or so, Paris FC doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Stade Brestois 29 win 37, Draw 26, Paris FC win 37.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
37%1Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29 win
26%XDrawDraw
37%2Paris FCParis FC win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Match previewSummary
Stade Brestois 29 meet Paris FC. The model leans only slightly toward Paris FC in what is close to a toss-up, shaped mainly by What's at stake (away) and Attacking xG form (away). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
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Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Paris FC (37%), doesn't happen in about 63 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Stade Brestois 29
- W2-0LYO
- W2-0LOR
- L1-2NIC
- D1-1LIL
- W5-1ANG
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Paris FC
- W1-0AUX
- W3-1MON
- L1-2LEN
- W4-3REN
- L0-1LOR
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Stade Brestois 29
Absence data is not available for this match.
Paris FC
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Stade Brestois 29 0Draws 0Paris FC 2
- PF 4-0 SB2
- SB2 1-2 PF
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Stade Brestois 29
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.86last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.21last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.0last 10
- Shots
- 16.1last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.8last 10
- Fouls
- 14.5last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.4last 10
Key players
- L. Ajorque5G 1A10 apps
- K. Doumbia4G 2A10 apps
- P. Mboup2G 1A10 apps
Paris FC
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.7last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.0last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.69last 10
- xG against / game
- 0.95last 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.6last 10
- Shots
- 13.5last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.9last 10
- Fouls
- 13.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.2last 10
Key players
- L. Sinayoko9G 5A10 apps
- P. Pagis2G 2A10 apps
- M. Lopez2G 2A10 apps
Venue
- Venue
- Stade Francis-Le-Blé, Brest
- Surface
- Grass
- Capacity
- 15,931
Line movement
Stade Brestois 29—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Paris FC—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans only slightly toward Paris FC in what is close to a toss-up, shaped mainly by What's at stake (away) and Attacking xG form (away). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
What's at stake (away)0.19Attacking xG form (away)1.61Clean-sheet streak (home)2.00What's at stake (home)0.06Home advantage (team-tuned)72.2Away form (away)5.69
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.