Stoke City vs Preston prediction
ChampionshipRound 13
Stoke City13:30
Sat 31 Oct
Prediction T-24h
PrestonMost likelyStoke City win · 45%
Prediction
45%1Stoke City
29%XDraw
26%2Preston
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Stoke City | Preston |
|---|
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No best price is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Stoke City
- W2-1BOL
- W2-1SU
- W2-1WAT
- D1-1CAR
- W4-0CHA
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Preston
- L0-1MIL
- D2-2QPR
- L0-1LIN
- L1-2WAT
- W2-1BLA
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Stoke City
No reported absences.
Preston
No reported absences.
Head to head
Stoke City 0Draws 3Preston 1
- PRE 3-1 SC
- SC 0-0 PRE
- PRE 1-1 SC
- SC 0-0 PRE
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Stoke City
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.5last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.5last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.98last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.63last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.5last 10
- Shots
- 12.2last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.8last 10
- Fouls
- 14.6last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.5last 10
Preston
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.43last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.43last 10
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.6last 10
- Shots
- 13.2last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.1last 10
- Fouls
- 11.5last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.3last 10
Line movement
Stoke City—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Preston—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Stoke City result here, shaped mainly by What's at stake (home) and Recent form (away). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
What's at stake (home)0.03Recent form (away)1.96Pi-rating edge0.29Attacking xG form (away)1.48Attacking xG form (home)1.15Home advantage (team-tuned)56.5
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.