Strasbourg vs Lorient prediction
Ligue 1Round 13Stade de la Meinau
Strasbourg17:00
Sat 5 Dec
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
LorientMost likelyStrasbourg win · 48%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Strasbourg win
Oddbert gives Strasbourg a 48% chance of winning.
48%Strasbourg
26%Draw
26%Lorient
In 100 matches like this, Strasbourg would win about 48. In the other 52 or so, Strasbourg doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Strasbourg win 48, Draw 26, Lorient win 26.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
Guess the match
Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
Your guesses are saved in this browser only.
Prediction
48%1StrasbourgStrasbourg win
26%XDrawDraw
26%2LorientLorient win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
Guess the match
Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
Your guesses are saved in this browser only.
Match previewSummary
Strasbourg meet Lorient. The model leans toward Strasbourg, shaped mainly by Away form (away) and Recent form (home). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Thinking of betting on this match?Help and breaks
Oddbert takes no bets and doesn't link to bookmakers.
Gambling comes at a cost. The bookmaker's margin means bettors as a whole lose over time.
At the bookmaker
- Only bookmakers with a Danish licence may offer betting in Denmark.
- You must be 18+ and register with MitID.
- You must set a deposit limit. Choose an amount you can afford to lose.
Even the most likely result, a win for Strasbourg (48%), doesn't happen in about 52 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Strasbourg
- L1-3TOU
- W5-1AUX
- L0-3REN
- L1-3PSG
- L1-2NIC
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Lorient
- W2-0LH
- L0-2SB2
- D0-0ANG
- W1-0MON
- W1-0PF
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Strasbourg
Absence data is not available for this match.
Lorient
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Strasbourg 1Draws 1Lorient 0
- LOR 2-3 STR
- STR 0-0 LOR
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Strasbourg
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.2last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.05last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.56last 9
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 9 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 2.6last 10
- Shots
- 12.5last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.9last 10
- Fouls
- 12.2last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.7last 10
Key players
- Gessime Yassine4G 3A10 apps
- G. Reyna3G 0A10 apps
- Dário Essugo2G 1A8 apps
Lorient
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 0.8last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.12last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.10last 10
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 10
- BTTS
- 3 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 3 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.3last 10
- Shots
- 10.1last 10
- Shots on target
- 2.8last 10
- Fouls
- 10.4last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.4last 9
Key players
- P. Katseris0G 3A5 apps
- K. Kouassi0G 2A10 apps
- N. Cadiou1G 0A10 apps
Venue
- Venue
- Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
- Surface
- Grass
- Capacity
- 26,109
Line movement
Strasbourg—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Lorient—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans toward Strasbourg, shaped mainly by Away form (away) and Recent form (home). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Away form (away)6.57Recent form (home)2.31Pi-rating edge0.33What's at stake (away)0.02Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)143Attacking xG form (away)1.06
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.