Sunderland vs Tottenham prediction
Premier LeagueRound 12Stadium of Light
Sunderland15:05
Sun 29 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
TottenhamMost likelySunderland win · 40%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Sunderland win
Oddbert gives Sunderland a 40% chance of winning.
40%Sunderland
27%Draw
33%Tottenham
In 100 matches like this, Sunderland would win about 40. In the other 60 or so, Sunderland doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Sunderland win 40, Draw 27, Tottenham win 33.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
40%1SunderlandSunderland win
27%XDrawDraw
33%2TottenhamTottenham win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Match previewSummary
Sunderland meet Tottenham. The model leans only slightly toward Sunderland in what is close to a toss-up, shaped mainly by Attacking xG form (home) and League id. See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Sunderland (40%), doesn't happen in about 60 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Sunderland
- W1-0CHE
- L0-2DZ
- L1-3COV
- D0-0LEE
- D1-1LP
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Tottenham
- L0-1LEE
- W2-0CP
- W2-0CHE
- W3-1COV
- D1-1MU
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Sunderland
Absence data is not available for this match.
Tottenham
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Sunderland 1Draws 1Tottenham 0
- SUN 1-0 TOT
- TOT 1-1 SUN
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Sunderland
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.6last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.88last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.56last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 3 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.7last 10
- Shots
- 15.7last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.8last 10
- Fouls
- 12.0last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.9last 10
Key players
- E. Le Fée3G 1A10 apps
- B. Brobbey3G 0A6 apps
- N. Angulo0G 2A9 apps
Tottenham
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.0last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.1last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.20last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.22last 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 3 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 3 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 7.5last 10
- Shots
- 15.3last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.3last 10
- Fouls
- 13.4last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.6last 10
Key players
- M. Kudus0G 3A9 apps
- J. van Hecke2G 0A10 apps
- D. Solanke1G 1A10 apps
Venue
- Venue
- Stadium of Light, Sunderland
- Surface
- Grass
- Capacity
- 49,000
Line movement
Sunderland—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Tottenham—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans only slightly toward Sunderland in what is close to a toss-up, shaped mainly by Attacking xG form (home) and League id. This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Attacking xG form (home)1.95League id39.0What's at stake (home)0.15Pi-rating edge0.03Defensive xG form (away)0.89What's at stake (away)0.10
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.