Swansea vs Blackburn prediction
ChampionshipRound 13
Swansea16:00
Sat 31 Oct
Prediction T-24h
BlackburnMost likelySwansea win · 53%
Prediction
53%1Swansea
26%XDraw
21%2Blackburn
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Swansea | Blackburn |
|---|
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No best price is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Swansea
- W2-1NOR
- W2-1LIN
- W3-1BUR
- L1-3SOU
- D0-0WRE
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Blackburn
- W2-1CAR
- D2-2POR
- W3-1MIL
- L1-2SU
- L1-2PRE
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Swansea
No reported absences.
Blackburn
No reported absences.
Head to head
Swansea 3Draws 0Blackburn 1
- SWA 3-1 BLA
- BLA 1-2 SWA
- SWA 3-0 BLA
- BLA 1-0 SWA
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Swansea
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 0.8last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.58last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.13last 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.7last 10
- Shots
- 12.8last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.5last 10
- Fouls
- 8.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.7last 9
Blackburn
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.4last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.4last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.06last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.58last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.8last 10
- Shots
- 12.2last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.4last 10
- Fouls
- 10.1last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.5last 10
Line movement
Swansea—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Blackburn—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Swansea result here, shaped mainly by Fixture congestion (home) and Home form (home). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Fixture congestion (home)0.00Home form (home)9.03Attacking xG form (home)1.55Pi-rating edge0.48What's at stake (home)0.13Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)173
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.