Swansea vs West Ham prediction
ChampionshipRound 11
Swansea16:00
Sat 17 Oct
Prediction T-24h
West HamMost likelySwansea win · 43%
Prediction
43%1Swansea
28%XDraw
29%2West Ham
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Swansea | West Ham |
|---|
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No best price is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Swansea
- W2-1NOR
- W2-1LIN
- W3-1BUR
- L1-3SOU
- D0-0WRE
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
West Ham
- D1-1QPR
- D2-2MIL
- W6-0WRE
- W3-2BOL
- W3-0DER
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Swansea
No reported absences.
West Ham
No reported absences.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Swansea
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 0.8last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.58last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.13last 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 6 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.7last 10
- Shots
- 12.8last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.5last 10
- Fouls
- 8.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.7last 9
West Ham
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 10
- xG for / game
- 2.20last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.32last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.3last 10
- Shots
- 15.4last 10
- Shots on target
- 6.1last 10
- Fouls
- 10.0last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.9last 10
Line movement
Swansea—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
West Ham—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Swansea result here, shaped mainly by Attacking xG form (home) and Attacking xG form (away). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Attacking xG form (home)1.55Attacking xG form (away)2.46What's at stake (away)0.16Pi-rating edge0.22Home advantage (team-tuned)54.5Home form (home)9.03
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.