Switzerland vs Scotland prediction
UEFA Nations LeagueRound League B - 6
Switzerland20:45
Mon 16 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
ScotlandMost likelySwitzerland win · 69%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Switzerland win
Oddbert gives Switzerland a 69% chance of winning.
69%Switzerland
19%Draw
12%Scotland
In 100 matches like this, Switzerland would win about 69. In the other 31 or so, Switzerland doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Switzerland win 69, Draw 19, Scotland win 12.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
69%1SwitzerlandSwitzerland winmarket 68%
19%XDrawDrawmarket 20%
12%2ScotlandScotland winmarket 12%
Our model vs market
Switzerland +0.3 ppDraw -0.2 ppScotland -0.1 pp
Our blended model differs from the price here. This is our own view, not a validated edge — we show it openly, but we don't claim it beats the market until it has done so out-of-time.
Market-anchored: the market's vig-free price (1 book's price) + model lean (max ±15 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Match previewSummary
Switzerland meet Scotland. Our forecast (a blend of the market price and our model) leans toward Switzerland; the model's main factors are International Elo (home) and Home advantage (Elo points). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Thinking of betting on this match?Help and breaks
Oddbert takes no bets and doesn't link to bookmakers.
Gambling comes at a cost. The bookmaker's margin means bettors as a whole lose over time.
At the bookmaker
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Even the most likely result, a win for Switzerland (69%), doesn't happen in about 31 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Switzerland
- W3-0FM
- W2-1SLO
- W3-0SCO
- W3-0FM
- L1-3ARG
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Scotland
- L1-2SLO
- W2-0FM
- L0-3SWI
- D0-0SLO
- L0-3BRA
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Switzerland
Absence data is not available for this match.
Scotland
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Switzerland 1Draws 1Scotland 0
- SCO 0-3 SWI
- SCO 1-1 SWI
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Switzerland
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.1last 10
- Conceded / game
- 0.5last 10
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Key players
- D. Ndoye4G 3A10 apps
- J. Manzambi4G 2A8 apps
- Z. Amdouni3G 1A8 apps
Scotland
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.1last 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 2 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Key players
- Lawrence Shankland3G 1A4 apps
- R. Christie2G 1A9 apps
- J. McGinn2G 0A9 apps
Line movement
Switzerland—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Scotland—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast (a blend of the market price and our model) leans toward Switzerland; the model's main factors are International Elo (home) and Home advantage (Elo points). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
International Elo (home)1899Home advantage (Elo points)80.0
This is a market-anchored baseline, not our full model: the forecast is mostly the bookmakers' price with the margin removed, plus a small share from our own simple model. The factors above describe that share only. A baseline claims no edge over the market.