Telstar vs Feyenoord prediction
EredivisieRound 9
Telstar20:00
Sat 17 Oct
Prediction T-24h
FeyenoordMost likelyFeyenoord win · 71%
Best price1.35 Betano
Prediction
12%1Telstarmarket 10%
17%XDrawmarket 15%
71%2Feyenoordmarket 75%
Telstar+1.7 ppDraw+1.3 ppFeyenoord-3.0 pp
Market-anchored: consensus (book median) + model lean (max ±3 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Telstarpays 5% more than the typical book | Drawpays 5% more than the typical book | Feyenoordpays 4% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 7.00 | 5.50 | 1.33 |
| Betano | 7.70 | 5.60 | 1.35best |
| Betfair | 8.00 | 5.50 | 1.29 |
| Betvictor | 8.00 | 5.75 | 1.30 |
| Marathonbet | 8.00 | 5.55 | 1.30 |
| Onexbet | 8.40 | 5.84best | 1.33 |
| Pinnacle | 8.41best | 5.57 | 1.32 |
| William Hill | 7.50 | 5.00 | 1.30 |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
Two ways to size a hypothetical stake on the model's call — Feyenoord at 1.35 (Betano).
units
Stays in your browser — never sent to us.
Follow sizing
10.00units
Flat 1% of bankroll — the same rule as our public AI bankroll simulation.
Edge sizing
0 — no edge at this price
Quarter-Kelly at the best listed price, with a hard 5%-of-bankroll cap.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Telstar
- D2-2ADH
- L0-1AA
- D0-0HEE
- L0-1TWE
- D2-2CAM
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Feyenoord
- W2-0AA
- W5-0UTR
- W7-0PZ
- L1-5BAR
- W3-1NN
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Telstar
No reported absences.
Feyenoord
No reported absences.
Head to head
Telstar 0Draws 0Feyenoord 2
- FEY 2-1 TEL
- TEL 1-2 FEY
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Telstar
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.5last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.33last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.87last 9
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.3last 10
- Shots
- 10.4last 10
- Shots on target
- 2.8last 10
- Fouls
- 11.4last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.7last 9
Feyenoord
Goals
- Scored / game
- 3.0last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 10
- xG for / game
- 2.76last 9
- xG against / game
- 0.79last 9
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.3last 10
- Shots
- 19.7last 10
- Shots on target
- 7.4last 10
- Fouls
- 9.8last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.1last 7
Line movement
Telstar—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Feyenoord—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Feyenoord result here, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Pi-rating edge-0.77Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-232Away form (away)9.08Attacking xG form (away)2.41What's at stake (home)0.06Defensive xG form (away)2.30
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.