Torino vs Lazio prediction
Serie ARound 13
Torino18:30
Sun 29 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
LazioMost likelyLazio win · 57%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Lazio win
Oddbert gives Lazio a 57% chance of winning.
21%Torino
22%Draw
57%Lazio
In 100 matches like this, Lazio would win about 57. In the other 43 or so, Lazio doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Torino win 21, Draw 22, Lazio win 57.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
21%1TorinoTorino win
22%XDrawDraw
57%2LazioLazio win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Match previewSummary
Torino meet Lazio. The model leans toward Lazio, shaped mainly by Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage) and Pi-rating edge. See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Lazio (57%), doesn't happen in about 43 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Torino
- D1-1LEC
- L0-2FRO
- L1-3COM
- W3-2MON
- W3-0PAR
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Lazio
- D1-1NAP
- W2-1CAG
- W6-2SAS
- W2-1PAR
- W3-0JUV
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Torino
Absence data is not available for this match.
Lazio
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Torino 1Draws 2Lazio 1
- TOR 2-0 LAZ
- LAZ 3-3 TOR
- LAZ 1-1 TOR
- TOR 2-3 LAZ
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Torino
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.4last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.5last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.16last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.34last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.0last 10
- Shots
- 11.0last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.8last 10
- Fouls
- 9.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.2last 9
Key players
- R. Belghali1G 3A9 apps
- C. Adams3G 0A8 apps
- G. Simeone2G 1A10 apps
Lazio
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.4last 10
- Conceded / game
- 0.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.63last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.23last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.7last 10
- Shots
- 14.3last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.8last 10
- Fouls
- 10.3last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.3last 10
Key players
- T. Noslin4G 4A9 apps
- M. Zaccagni2G 5A9 apps
- G. Isaksen4G 1A10 apps
Line movement
Torino—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Lazio—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans toward Lazio, shaped mainly by Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage) and Pi-rating edge. This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-155Pi-rating edge-0.60Home advantage (team-tuned)26.4What's at stake (home)0.02League id135Attacking xG form (away)1.53
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.