Torino vs Udinese prediction
Serie ARound 6Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Torino20:45
Mon 12 Oct
Prediction T-24h
UdineseMost likelyTorino win · 39%
Best price2.61 Pinnacle
Prediction
39%1Torinomarket 38%
29%XDrawmarket 32%
32%2Udinesemarket 30%
Torino+0.9 ppDraw-2.6 ppUdinese+1.8 pp
Market-anchored: consensus (sharp books) + model lean (max ±3 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Torinopays 4% more than the typical book | Drawpays 8% more than the typical book | Udinesepays 5% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.60 | 2.90 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.55 | 2.95 | 3.10 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 2.90 | 3.10 |
| Betvictor | 2.50 | 3.00 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.41 | 3.20best | 3.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.54 | 3.08 | 3.20 |
| Onexbet | 2.58 | 3.12 | 3.24best |
| Pinnacle | 2.61best | 3.03 | 3.19 |
| Sbo | 2.36 | 2.90 | 2.75 |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 2.90 | 3.00 |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
Two ways to size a hypothetical stake on the model's call — Torino at 2.61 (Pinnacle).
units
Stays in your browser — never sent to us.
Follow sizing
10.00units
Flat 1% of bankroll — the same rule as our public AI bankroll simulation.
Edge sizing
1.48units · 0.1% of bankroll
Quarter-Kelly at the best listed price, with a hard 5%-of-bankroll cap.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Torino
- D1-1BOL
- L0-2AR
- W2-1FIO
- L1-2SAS
- L1-2AM
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Udinese
- L0-1CAG
- L3-5INT
- L1-2LAZ
- W3-2MON
- D1-1COM
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Torino
No reported absences.
Udinese
No reported absences.
Head to head
Torino 1Draws 1Udinese 2
- UDI 2-0 TOR
- TOR 1-2 UDI
- TOR 2-0 UDI
- UDI 2-2 TOR
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Torino
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.7last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.35last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.75last 10
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.8last 10
- Shots
- 11.0last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.0last 10
- Fouls
- 11.1last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.3last 9
Udinese
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.5last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.6last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.47last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.46last 9
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.5last 10
- Shots
- 13.5last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.0last 10
- Fouls
- 11.8last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.8last 10
Referee profile
- Referee
- Valerio Crezzini
- Yellows / game
- —
- Matches officiated
- 0
Venue
- Venue
- Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Turin
Line movement
Torino38%
Mon 12 Oct-2.9 pp
Draw32%
Mon 12 Oct+2.2 pp
Udinese30%
Mon 12 Oct+0.6 pp
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Torino result here, shaped mainly by Defensive xG form (away) and Attacking xG form (away). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Defensive xG form (away)3.51Attacking xG form (away)1.93Away form (away)5.87Home form (home)4.77League id135Recent form (home)2.83
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.