Torreense vs Celtic prediction
UEFA Europa LeagueRound League Stage - 5
Torreense21:00
Thu 26 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
CelticMost likelyCeltic win · 41%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Celtic win
Oddbert gives Celtic a 41% chance of winning.
38%Torreense
21%Draw
41%Celtic
In 100 matches like this, Celtic would win about 41. In the other 59 or so, Celtic doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Torreense win 38, Draw 21, Celtic win 41.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
38%1TorreenseTorreense win
21%XDrawDraw
41%2CelticCeltic win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Match previewSummary
Torreense meet Celtic. The model leans only slightly toward Celtic in what is close to a toss-up, shaped mainly by Expected goals (away) and Defensive xG form (away). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Thinking of betting on this match?Help and breaks
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Gambling comes at a cost. The bookmaker's margin means bettors as a whole lose over time.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Celtic (41%), doesn't happen in about 59 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Torreense
- W3-2ARA
- L1-4FT
- L1-2SUN
- W2-1LIL
- L0-2CP
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Celtic
- W3-2BEI
- L1-2CV
- L1-4BEN
- L1-3FT
- L1-5LL
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Torreense
Absence data is not available for this match.
Celtic
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Torreense
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.2last 6
- Conceded / game
- 1.8last 6
- xG for / game
- 0.88last 3
- xG against / game
- 1.86last 3
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 6
- BTTS
- 4 / 6
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 6
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.3last 6
- Shots
- 11.2last 6
- Shots on target
- 2.8last 6
- Fouls
- 12.2last 6
- Yellow cards
- 2.0last 6
Key players
- Javi Vázquez1G 3A6 apps
- Manu Pozo2G 0A4 apps
- David Bruno0G 2A5 apps
Celtic
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.3last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.47last 7
- xG against / game
- 1.82last 7
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 9 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.9last 10
- Shots
- 10.5last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.5last 10
- Fouls
- 10.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.2last 10
Key players
- C. Durán5G 0A6 apps
- B. Nygren3G 1A10 apps
- A. Engels1G 2A2 apps
Line movement
Torreense—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Celtic—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans only slightly toward Celtic in what is close to a toss-up, shaped mainly by Expected goals (away) and Defensive xG form (away). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Expected goals (away)4.15Defensive xG form (away)5.12League id3.00Pi-rating edge0.02Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-7.84What's at stake (home)0.00
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.