Tottenham vs Crystal Palace prediction
Premier LeagueRound 9Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Tottenham18:30
Sat 31 Oct
Prediction T-24h
Crystal PalaceMost likelyTottenham win · 39%
Prediction
39%1Tottenham
27%XDraw
34%2Crystal Palace
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Tottenham | Crystal Palace |
|---|
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No best price is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Tottenham
- D1-1MU
- L2-3AV
- D0-0EVE
- D0-0NF
- L0-2NEW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Crystal Palace
- W3-1NF
- D0-0LEE
- L2-3IPS
- W3-2FUL
- L1-4MC
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Tottenham
No reported absences.
Crystal Palace
No reported absences.
Head to head
Tottenham 1Draws 0Crystal Palace 3
- TOT 1-3 CP
- CP 0-1 TOT
- TOT 0-2 CP
- CP 1-0 TOT
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Tottenham
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.3last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.18last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.14last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 7.2last 10
- Shots
- 13.8last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.5last 10
- Fouls
- 13.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.2last 10
Crystal Palace
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.4last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.1last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.47last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.99last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.3last 10
- Shots
- 11.7last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.3last 10
- Fouls
- 8.5last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.4last 9
Venue
- Venue
- Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
Line movement
Tottenham—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Crystal Palace—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Tottenham result here, shaped mainly by Defensive xG form (away) and Defensive xG form (home). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Defensive xG form (away)2.26Defensive xG form (home)0.96Home advantage (team-tuned)4.68Fixture congestion (home)0.00Recent form (home)2.14Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-49.4
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.