Toulouse vs Strasbourg prediction
Ligue 1Round 10Stadium de Toulouse
Toulouse20:45
Fri 6 Nov
Prediction T-24h
StrasbourgMost likelyStrasbourg win · 37%
Prediction
35%1Toulouse
28%XDraw
37%2Strasbourg
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 14 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
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Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Toulouse
- D2-2MON
- W3-2LH
- D2-2LOR
- L0-1LIL
- D2-2SB2
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Strasbourg
- L1-2NIC
- L1-2PF
- D1-1MON
- W6-2ET
- W2-1LEN
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Toulouse
No reported absences.
Strasbourg
No reported absences.
Head to head
Toulouse 2Draws 0Strasbourg 2
- STR 1-2 TOU
- TOU 1-0 STR
- STR 2-1 TOU
- TOU 1-2 STR
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Toulouse
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.7last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.8last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.71last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.59last 10
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.2last 10
- Shots
- 13.5last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.6last 10
- Fouls
- 16.7last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.3last 10
Strasbourg
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.0last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.0last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.22last 7
- xG against / game
- 1.75last 7
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 9 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.0last 10
- Shots
- 11.8last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.9last 10
- Fouls
- 10.5last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.4last 10
Venue
- Venue
- Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
Line movement
Toulouse—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Strasbourg—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Strasbourg result here, shaped mainly by Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage) and Defensive xG form (away). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-52.3Defensive xG form (away)5.25What's at stake (home)0.07Attacking xG form (away)3.71Attacking xG form (home)1.93Home form (home)5.58
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.