Udinese vs AS Roma prediction
Serie ARound 10
Udinese18:00
Sat 31 Oct
Prediction T-24h
AS RomaMost likelyAS Roma win · 56%
Prediction
21%1Udinese
23%XDraw
56%2AS Roma
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Udinese | AS Roma |
|---|
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No best price is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Udinese
- L0-1CAG
- L3-5INT
- L1-2LAZ
- W3-2MON
- D1-1COM
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
AS Roma
- D0-0COM
- D2-2INT
- W2-0TOR
- D1-1FEN
- W2-1ATA
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Udinese
No reported absences.
AS Roma
No reported absences.
Head to head
Udinese 1Draws 0AS Roma 3
- UDI 1-0 AR
- AR 2-0 UDI
- UDI 1-2 AR
- AR 3-0 UDI
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Udinese
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.5last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.6last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.47last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.46last 9
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.5last 10
- Shots
- 13.5last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.0last 10
- Fouls
- 11.8last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.8last 10
AS Roma
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.2last 10
- Conceded / game
- 0.6last 10
- xG for / game
- 2.36last 7
- xG against / game
- 0.82last 7
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.4last 10
- Shots
- 17.0last 10
- Shots on target
- 6.1last 10
- Fouls
- 12.6last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.6last 10
Line movement
Udinese—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
AS Roma—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a AS Roma result here, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Pi-rating edge-0.79Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-239Rest-days edge21.9Attacking xG form (away)5.83Defensive xG form (away)3.48Home form (home)2.12
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.