Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva prediction
UEFA Europa LeagueRound League Stage - 3
Union St. Gilloise18:45
Thu 22 Oct
Prediction T-24h
Hapoel Beer ShevaMost likelyUnion St. Gilloise win · 43%
Prediction
43%1Union St. Gilloise
37%XDraw
20%2Hapoel Beer Sheva
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 15 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Union St. Gilloise
- W3-0PLZ
- L2-3BOD
- D3-3BOD
- W1-0ATA
- L0-2BM
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Hapoel Beer Sheva
- D0-0DZ
- L2-5SF
- W2-1SF
- W2-0FCZ
- W1-0FCZ
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Union St. Gilloise
No reported absences.
Hapoel Beer Sheva
No reported absences.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Union St. Gilloise
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.3last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.1last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.02last 7
- xG against / game
- 2.32last 7
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 2.6last 10
- Shots
- 13.6last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.6last 10
- Fouls
- 12.1last 9
- Yellow cards
- 2.8last 10
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.0last 10
- Conceded / game
- 0.7last 10
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 10
- BTTS
- 3 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 3 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.0last 7
- Shots
- 12.2last 6
- Shots on target
- 4.1last 7
- Fouls
- 10.0last 4
- Yellow cards
- 2.9last 8
Line movement
Union St. Gilloise—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Hapoel Beer Sheva—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Union St. Gilloise result here, shaped mainly by Attacking xG form (home) and Defensive xG form (away). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Attacking xG form (home)4.72Defensive xG form (away)5.23Attacking xG form (away)4.33What's at stake (home)0.00Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)190Home advantage (team-tuned)74.6
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.