Utah Royals W vs Kansas City W prediction
NWSL WomenRound Group Stage
Utah Royals W00:30
Sun 18 Oct
Prediction T-24h
Kansas City WMost likelyKansas City W win · 46%
Best price1.98 Betano
Prediction
33%1Utah Royals Wmarket 27%
21%XDrawmarket 24%
46%2Kansas City Wmarket 49%
Our model vs market
Utah Royals W +6.2 ppDraw -2.7 ppKansas City W -3.5 pp
Our blended model differs from the price here. This is our own view, not a validated edge — we show it openly, but we don't claim it beats the market until it has done so out-of-time.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Stale predictionPrediction as of 13 Oct 2026Predictions for this league are paused — this is the last one we made, not a live call.
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Utah Royals Wpays 3% more than the typical book | Drawpays 2% more than the typical book | Kansas City Wpays 6% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 3.25 | 3.60 | 1.98best |
| Betfair | 3.20 | 3.70best | 1.87 |
| Betvictor | 3.00 | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| Marathonbet | 3.28 | 3.62 | 1.85 |
| Onexbet | 3.36best | 3.62 | 1.87 |
| Pinnacle | 3.32 | 3.69 | 1.93 |
| William Hill | 3.25 | 3.40 | 1.91 |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
This prediction is stale (paused league or not refreshed), so we size nothing on it.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Utah Royals W
- D1-1RLW
- W2-1NCC
- L0-3ACW
- W1-0HDW
- L1-2BLW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Kansas City W
- W5-1BFW
- W4-1DSW
- L0-2SDW
- D2-2OPW
- W2-1BFW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Utah Royals W
No reported absences.
Kansas City W
No reported absences.
Head to head
Utah Royals W 0Draws 0Kansas City W 5
- KCW 2-1 URW
- URW 0-1 KCW
- KCW 3-0 URW
- KCW 1-0 URW
- URW 0-1 KCW
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Utah Royals W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.7last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Kansas City W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.0last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.4last 10
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 9 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Line movement
Utah Royals W—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Kansas City W—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Kansas City W result here, shaped mainly by Expected goals (away) and Expected goals (home). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Expected goals (away)1.71Expected goals (home)1.40Goal correlation0.12
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.