Washington Spirit W vs Utah Royals W prediction
NWSL WomenRound Semi-finals
Washington Spirit W18:00
Sat 14 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
Utah Royals WMost likelyWashington Spirit W win · 38%
Best price4.75 Betfair
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Washington Spirit W win
Oddbert gives Washington Spirit W a 38% chance of winning.
38%Washington Spirit W
28%Draw
34%Utah Royals W
In 100 matches like this, Washington Spirit W would win about 38. In the other 62 or so, Washington Spirit W doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Washington Spirit W win 38, Draw 28, Utah Royals W win 34.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
38%1Washington Spirit WWashington Spirit W winmarket 35%
28%XDrawDrawmarket 29%
34%2Utah Royals WUtah Royals W winmarket 36%
Our model vs market
Washington Spirit W +2.8 ppDraw -1.1 ppUtah Royals W -1.8 pp
Our blended model differs from the price here. This is our own view, not a validated edge — we show it openly, but we don't claim it beats the market until it has done so out-of-time.
Market-anchored: the market's vig-free price (median of 4 books) + model lean (max ±15 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
The highlighted price is the highest among the bookmakers with a Danish licence.
Words explained:
| Bookmaker | Washington Spirit W | Drawpays 3% more than the typical book | Utah Royals W |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 4.75best | 4.00best | 1.55best |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
Two ways to size a hypothetical stake on the model's call — Washington Spirit W at 4.75 (Betfair).
units
Stays in your browser — never sent to us.
Follow sizing
10.00units
Flat 1% of bankroll — the same rule as our public AI bankroll simulation.
Edge sizing
Not sized — the model behind this prediction has not beaten the closing market out-of-time (see Transparency). We don't size stakes off an edge we don't claim to have.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Thinking of betting on this match?Help and breaks
Oddbert takes no bets and doesn't link to bookmakers.
Gambling comes at a cost. The bookmaker's margin means bettors as a whole lose over time.
At the bookmaker
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- You must set a deposit limit. Choose an amount you can afford to lose.
Even the most likely result, a win for Washington Spirit W (38%), doesn't happen in about 62 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Washington Spirit W
- W4-1PTW
- W2-0CRS
- L1-2KCW
- W1-0NGF
- W3-2HDW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Utah Royals W
- W1-0SDW
- L0-2NGF
- D0-0SRF
- L0-2KCW
- D1-1RLW
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Washington Spirit W
Absence data is not available for this match.
Utah Royals W
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Washington Spirit W 3Draws 2Utah Royals W 1
- URW 0-1 WSW
- WSW 1-1 URW
- URW 1-0 WSW
- WSW 3-3 URW
- URW 0-1 WSW
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Washington Spirit W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.7last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.0last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.70last 4
- xG against / game
- 1.00last 4
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.6last 10
- Shots
- 14.3last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.2last 10
- Fouls
- 10.0last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.2last 10
Key players
Player data from 9 of 10 matches
- T. Rodman2G 2A9 apps
- Clara Luvanga2G 1A5 apps
- T. McKeown2G 0A9 apps
Utah Royals W
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.2last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.08last 5
- xG against / game
- 1.46last 5
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.4last 10
- Shots
- 10.8last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.5last 10
- Fouls
- 12.1last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.0last 10
Key players
- C. Lacasse2G 2A10 apps
- K. Palacios2G 1A10 apps
- Mina Tanaka1G 1A6 apps
Line movement
Washington Spirit W—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Utah Royals W—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a Washington Spirit W result here; the model's main factors are Expected goals (away) and Expected goals (home). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Expected goals (away)0.91Expected goals (home)1.55Goal correlation0.15
This is a market-anchored baseline, not our full model: the forecast is mostly the bookmakers' price with the margin removed, plus a small share from our own simple model. The factors above describe that share only. A baseline claims no edge over the market.