Utrecht vs Cambuur prediction
EredivisieRound 13Stadion Galgenwaard
Utrecht18:45
Sat 21 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
CambuurMost likelyUtrecht win · 50%
Best price1.80 Betano
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Utrecht win
Oddbert gives Utrecht a 50% chance of winning.
50%Utrecht
23%Draw
27%Cambuur
In 100 matches like this, Utrecht would win about 50. In the other 50 or so, Utrecht doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Utrecht win 50, Draw 23, Cambuur win 27.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
50%1UtrechtUtrecht winmarket 54%
23%XDrawDrawmarket 22%
27%2CambuurCambuur winmarket 24%
Our model vs market
Utrecht -3.0 ppDraw +0.2 ppCambuur +2.8 pp
Our blended model differs from the price here. This is our own view, not a validated edge — we show it openly, but we don't claim it beats the market until it has done so out-of-time.
Market-anchored: the market's vig-free price (median of 5 books) + model lean (max ±3 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
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Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
The highlighted price is the highest among the bookmakers with a Danish licence.
Words explained:
| Bookmaker | Utrechtpays 1% more than the typical book | Drawpays 1% more than the typical book | Cambuurpays 6% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 4.00 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 1.80best | 4.10 | 4.00best |
| Marathonbet | 1.78 | 4.10best | 3.72 |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
Two ways to size a hypothetical stake on the model's call — Utrecht at 1.80 (Betano).
units
Stays in your browser — never sent to us.
Follow sizing
10.00units
Flat 1% of bankroll — the same rule as our public AI bankroll simulation.
Edge sizing
Not sized — the model behind this prediction has not beaten the closing market out-of-time (see Transparency). We don't size stakes off an edge we don't claim to have.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Thinking of betting on this match?Help and breaks
Oddbert takes no bets and doesn't link to bookmakers.
Gambling comes at a cost. The bookmaker's margin means bettors as a whole lose over time.
At the bookmaker
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Even the most likely result, a win for Utrecht (50%), doesn't happen in about 50 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Utrecht
- L2-3NN
- L2-4TEL
- D1-1PZ
- W2-1TWE
- W3-1WI
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Cambuur
- L2-5PE
- W4-0GAE
- W6-1WI
- D2-2AA
- W1-0PZ
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Utrecht
Absence data is not available for this match.
Cambuur
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Utrecht
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.8last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.43last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.88last 10
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 9 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 9 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.9last 10
- Shots
- 14.8last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.5last 10
- Fouls
- 15.5last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.1last 9
Key players
- Ángel Alarcón4G 1A10 apps
- Y. Cathline4G 1A10 apps
- Artem Stepanov4G 0A8 apps
Cambuur
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.4last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.0last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.39last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.59last 9
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.4last 10
- Shots
- 12.0last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.1last 10
- Fouls
- 12.7last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.8last 10
Key players
- R. El Arguioui5G 3A10 apps
- I. Hamache5G 3A10 apps
- N. Binder5G 2A9 apps
Venue
- Venue
- Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht
- Surface
- Grass
- Capacity
- 24,426
Line movement
Utrecht—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Cambuur—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
Our forecast favours a Utrecht result here; the model's main factors are Expected goals (away) and Defensive xG form (home). The numbers come from our forecast — the prose only narrates them.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Expected goals (away)2.13Defensive xG form (home)1.53Away form (away)5.80What's at stake (away)0.07Expected goals (home)2.30Home advantage (team-tuned)18.9
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.