Venezia vs Bologna prediction
Serie ARound 13
Venezia18:30
Sun 29 Nov
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
BolognaMost likelyBologna win · 56%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Bologna win
Oddbert gives Bologna a 56% chance of winning.
22%Venezia
22%Draw
56%Bologna
In 100 matches like this, Bologna would win about 56. In the other 44 or so, Bologna doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Venezia win 22, Draw 22, Bologna win 56.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
Guess the match
Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
Your guesses are saved in this browser only.
Prediction
22%1VeneziaVenezia win
22%XDrawDraw
56%2BolognaBologna win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
Guess the match
Saves the match under My matches in this browserGuess the result — no money, no points. After the match you'll see your guess next to Oddbert's chance and the result.
Your guesses are saved in this browser only.
Match previewSummary
Venezia meet Bologna. The model leans toward Bologna, shaped mainly by Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage) and Pi-rating edge. See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Thinking of betting on this match?Help and breaks
Oddbert takes no bets and doesn't link to bookmakers.
Gambling comes at a cost. The bookmaker's margin means bettors as a whole lose over time.
At the bookmaker
- Only bookmakers with a Danish licence may offer betting in Denmark.
- You must be 18+ and register with MitID.
- You must set a deposit limit. Choose an amount you can afford to lose.
Even the most likely result, a win for Bologna (56%), doesn't happen in about 44 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Venezia
- W2-1UDI
- L0-1COM
- L0-2INT
- L0-1GEN
- W1-0NAP
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Bologna
- W2-1PAR
- W2-1MON
- W4-2AM
- W2-0CAG
- L1-3INT
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Venezia
Absence data is not available for this match.
Bologna
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
Venezia 0Draws 0Bologna 2
- VEN 0-1 BOL
- BOL 3-0 VEN
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Venezia
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.38last 8
- xG against / game
- 1.83last 8
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.8last 10
- Shots
- 13.2last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.7last 10
- Fouls
- 9.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.2last 10
Key players
- A. Hainaut2G 2A10 apps
- A. Adams2G 0A10 apps
- R. Sagrado1G 1A5 apps
Bologna
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.6last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.3last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.60last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.42last 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 7 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.7last 10
- Shots
- 13.6last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.5last 10
- Fouls
- 12.5last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.9last 10
Key players
- Juan Miranda0G 5A9 apps
- F. Bernardeschi3G 0A10 apps
- S. Mbangula3G 0A6 apps
Line movement
Venezia—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Bologna—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans toward Bologna, shaped mainly by Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage) and Pi-rating edge. This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)-192Pi-rating edge-0.64Home advantage (team-tuned)17.1Recent form (away)8.40League id135Expected goals (home)0.78
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.