Venezia vs Sassuolo prediction
Serie ARound 14
Venezia18:30
Sun 6 Dec
Prediction T-24hUpcoming
SassuoloMost likelySassuolo win · 39%
Oddbert's view
Most likely: Sassuolo win
Oddbert gives Sassuolo a 39% chance of winning.
35%Venezia
26%Draw
39%Sassuolo
In 100 matches like this, Sassuolo would win about 39. In the other 61 or so, Sassuolo doesn't win.
Dot chart of 100 matches like this: Venezia win 35, Draw 26, Sassuolo win 39.
Each dot is one match out of 100 like this.
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Prediction
35%1VeneziaVenezia win
26%XDrawDraw
39%2SassuoloSassuolo win
No bookmaker price at forecast time — model onlyNo bookmaker had priced this match when this forecast was made, so it is our model on its own, with no market check.
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 13 Nov 2026
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Match previewSummary
Venezia meet Sassuolo. The model leans only slightly toward Sassuolo in what is close to a toss-up, shaped mainly by Home advantage (team-tuned) and Recent form (away). See the probability bar above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
Odds comparisonBookmaker odds
Odds include the bookmaker's margin.
Words explained:
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.Bookmakers' names are here for reference only. We don't link to them.
Bookmaker odds are turned off. You can turn them back on under Display at the bottom of the page.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
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Even the most likely result, a win for Sassuolo (39%), doesn't happen in about 61 of 100 matches like this.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Venezia
- W2-1UDI
- L0-1COM
- L0-2INT
- L0-1GEN
- W1-0NAP
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Sassuolo
- L0-3AR
- L2-4FIO
- L2-6LAZ
- L0-2COM
- L2-4FRO
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Venezia
Absence data is not available for this match.
Sassuolo
Absence data is not available for this match.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Venezia
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.9last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.38last 8
- xG against / game
- 1.83last 8
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.8last 10
- Shots
- 13.2last 10
- Shots on target
- 3.7last 10
- Fouls
- 9.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.2last 10
Key players
- A. Hainaut2G 2A10 apps
- A. Adams2G 0A10 apps
- R. Sagrado1G 1A5 apps
Sassuolo
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.5last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.7last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.13last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.93last 10
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.8last 10
- Shots
- 11.7last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.2last 10
- Fouls
- 10.0last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.4last 10
Key players
- Vasilije Adžić3G 1A8 apps
- A. Laurienté2G 1A10 apps
- S. Esposito2G 1A8 apps
Line movement
Venezia—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Sassuolo—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationSummary
The model leans only slightly toward Sassuolo in what is close to a toss-up, shaped mainly by Home advantage (team-tuned) and Recent form (away). This is our own view, not a proven edge. See the probability bar and factor chips above for the exact figures.
Written from the model's main factors with a fixed template, not by the AI. The probabilities come only from our forecast.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Home advantage (team-tuned)17.1Recent form (away)0.00Defensive xG form (away)2.46What's at stake (home)0.25Attacking xG form (away)0.82What's at stake (away)0.14
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.