VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction
BundesligaRound 7
VfB Stuttgart20:30
Fri 23 Oct
Prediction T-24h
Borussia MönchengladbachMost likelyVfB Stuttgart win · 67%
Best price1.47 Onexbet
Prediction
67%1VfB Stuttgartmarket 70%
19%XDrawmarket 17%
14%2Borussia Mönchengladbachmarket 13%
VfB Stuttgart-3.0 ppDraw+1.8 ppBorussia Mönchengladbach+1.2 pp
Market-anchored: consensus (book median) + model lean (max ±3 pp)
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | VfB Stuttgartpays 5% more than the typical book | Drawpays 8% more than the typical book | Borussia Mönchengladbachpays 4% more than the typical book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 5.00 | 6.50 |
| Betano | 1.42 | 5.20 | 6.70 |
| Marathonbet | 1.40 | 5.50best | 6.80 |
| Onexbet | 1.47best | 5.33 | 6.86best |
| William Hill | 1.36 | 5.00 | 6.00 |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
Two ways to size a hypothetical stake on the model's call — VfB Stuttgart at 1.47 (Onexbet).
units
Stays in your browser — never sent to us.
Follow sizing
10.00units
Flat 1% of bankroll — the same rule as our public AI bankroll simulation.
Edge sizing
0 — no edge at this price
Quarter-Kelly at the best listed price, with a hard 5%-of-bankroll cap.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
VfB Stuttgart
- W2-0SP0
- L0-1BD
- L1-21H
- W3-1VIK
- W4-11FK
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Borussia Mönchengladbach
- L1-21FK
- L3-4FM0
- L0-5SF
- L3-4SE
- L0-3RL
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
VfB Stuttgart
No reported absences.
Borussia Mönchengladbach
No reported absences.
Head to head
VfB Stuttgart 3Draws 0Borussia Mönchengladbach 1
- BM 0-3 VS
- VS 1-0 BM
- VS 1-2 BM
- BM 1-3 VS
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
VfB Stuttgart
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.0last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.7last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.94last 9
- xG against / game
- 2.16last 9
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.7last 10
- Shots
- 16.3last 10
- Shots on target
- 5.8last 10
- Fouls
- 10.5last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.2last 10
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.4last 10
- Conceded / game
- 2.2last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.37last 10
- xG against / game
- 2.15last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 5 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 7 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 4.3last 10
- Shots
- 13.8last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.4last 10
- Fouls
- 12.7last 10
- Yellow cards
- 3.3last 10
Line movement
VfB Stuttgart—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Borussia Mönchengladbach—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a VfB Stuttgart result here, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Defensive xG form (home). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Pi-rating edge0.86Defensive xG form (home)2.51Rest-days edge1.00Recent form (home)5.09Elo difference (team-tuned home advantage)240Defensive xG form (away)2.61
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.