Viborg vs FC Midtjylland prediction
SuperligaRound 11Energi Viborg Arena
Viborg19:00
Mon 19 Oct
Prediction T-24h
FC MidtjyllandMost likelyFC Midtjylland win · 38%
Best price2.21 Onexbet
Prediction
34%1Viborgmarket 30%
28%XDrawmarket 27%
38%2FC Midtjyllandmarket 43%
Viborg+3.4 ppDraw+1.1 ppFC Midtjylland-4.5 pp
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Viborg | Draw | FC Midtjylland |
|---|---|---|---|
| Onexbet | 3.02best | 3.40best | 2.21best |
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
Two ways to size a hypothetical stake on the model's call — FC Midtjylland at 2.21 (Onexbet).
units
Stays in your browser — never sent to us.
Follow sizing
10.00units
Flat 1% of bankroll — the same rule as our public AI bankroll simulation.
Edge sizing
0 — no edge at this price
Quarter-Kelly at the best listed price, with a hard 5%-of-bankroll cap.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Viborg
- W2-0RF
- W4-1FN
- D1-1SIL
- L0-2LYN
- W3-2AH
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
FC Midtjylland
- W2-1FC
- D1-1ODE
- W4-1BRO
- D2-2FN
- W2-0AAR
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Viborg
No reported absences.
FC Midtjylland
No reported absences.
Head to head
Viborg 1Draws 3FC Midtjylland 2
- FM 3-3 VIB
- VIB 1-1 FM
- VIB 3-3 FM
- FM 2-0 VIB
- VIB 1-0 FM
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Viborg
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.7last 10
- Conceded / game
- 0.8last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.78last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.16last 9
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- BTTS
- 4 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 4 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.1last 10
- Shots
- 14.3last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.1last 10
- Fouls
- 12.4last 10
- Yellow cards
- 0.9last 10
FC Midtjylland
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.9last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.0last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.54last 9
- xG against / game
- 1.14last 9
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 5 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 5.4last 10
- Shots
- 13.6last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.8last 10
- Fouls
- 12.6last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.7last 9
Venue
- Venue
- Energi Viborg Arena, Viborg
Line movement
Viborg—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
FC Midtjylland—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a FC Midtjylland result here, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Attacking xG form (away). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Pi-rating edge-0.36Attacking xG form (away)1.83Defensive xG form (away)2.58Defensive xG form (home)2.06Attacking xG form (home)2.36Recent form (away)7.72
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.