Villarreal vs Espanyol prediction
La LigaRound 11Estadio de la Cerámica
Villarreal21:00
Fri 30 Oct
Prediction T-24h
EspanyolMost likelyVillarreal win · 51%
Prediction
51%1Villarreal
28%XDraw
21%2Espanyol
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 12 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
| Bookmaker | Villarreal | Espanyol |
|---|
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No best price is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Villarreal
- L0-1RM
- W3-1LEV
- W3-1MAL
- L1-2RB
- L2-3BD
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Espanyol
- D1-1MAL
- L1-3ELC
- L1-2RV
- W2-0OSA
- D1-1SEV
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Villarreal
No reported absences.
Espanyol
No reported absences.
Head to head
Villarreal 4Draws 0Espanyol 0
- VIL 4-1 ESP
- ESP 0-2 VIL
- VIL 1-0 ESP
- ESP 1-2 VIL
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Villarreal
Goals
- Scored / game
- 2.0last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.7last 10
- xG for / game
- 2.07last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.43last 10
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.6last 10
- Shots
- 15.4last 10
- Shots on target
- 6.4last 10
- Fouls
- 10.1last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.7last 10
Espanyol
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.4last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.3last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.29last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.34last 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 6 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 2.2last 10
- Shots
- 12.8last 10
- Shots on target
- 4.2last 10
- Fouls
- 15.9last 10
- Yellow cards
- 2.8last 10
Venue
- Venue
- Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal
Line movement
Villarreal—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Espanyol—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Villarreal result here, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Attacking xG form (home). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Pi-rating edge0.75Attacking xG form (home)2.29League id140Goal drought (home)1.00Fixture congestion (away)0.00Fixture congestion (home)1.00
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.