Villarreal vs Getafe prediction
La LigaRound 12Estadio de la Ceramica
Villarreal17:00
Sun 8 Nov
Prediction T-24h
GetafeMost likelyVillarreal win · 55%
Prediction
54%1Villarreal
26%XDraw
20%2Getafe
These are calibrated probabilities. See how closely they've matched real outcomes
Prediction as of 14 Oct 2026
Odds comparison
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker yet
We only show prices from bookmakers with a Danish licence (Spillemyndigheden).
Bookmaker names shown for reference only. No affiliate links.
Stake sizer
No price from a Danish-licensed bookmaker is recorded for this outcome right now, so we size nothing.
Hypothetical sizing in currency-neutral units, not betting advice. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees. 18+.
Match context
Strength-adjusted form
Villarreal
- W3-1NAP
- L0-1RM
- W3-1LEV
- W3-1MAL
- L1-2RB
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Getafe
- L0-3BAR
- W1-0MAL
- L0-1RB
- D1-1DLC
- D1-1CV
↑ stronger · = even · ↓ weaker opponent
Injuries & absences
Villarreal
No reported absences.
Getafe
No reported absences.
Head to head
Villarreal 2Draws 1Getafe 1
- GET 2-1 VIL
- VIL 2-0 GET
- GET 1-2 VIL
- VIL 1-1 GET
Recent form
Recent form — context only, not a tip.
Villarreal
Goals
- Scored / game
- 1.8last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.7last 10
- xG for / game
- 1.97last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.51last 10
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- BTTS
- 8 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 8 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 6.5last 10
- Shots
- 15.6last 10
- Shots on target
- 6.0last 10
- Fouls
- 10.5last 10
- Yellow cards
- 1.9last 10
Key players
- Georges Mikautadze1G 0A1 apps
- Santiago Mouriño1G 0A1 apps
- T. Oluwaseyi1G 0A1 apps
Getafe
Goals
- Scored / game
- 0.5last 10
- Conceded / game
- 1.1last 10
- xG for / game
- 0.53last 10
- xG against / game
- 1.24last 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- BTTS
- 2 / 10
- Over 2.5
- 2 / 10
Match stats
- Corners
- 3.2last 10
- Shots
- 9.6last 10
- Shots on target
- 2.3last 10
- Fouls
- 14.4last 10
- Yellow cards
- 3.0last 10
Venue
- Venue
- Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal
Line movement
Villarreal—
No line movement recorded yet
Draw—
No line movement recorded yet
Getafe—
No line movement recorded yet
Under the hood
How the model sees this match — the drivers and, after full-time, how the prediction scored.
Why this prediction
ExplanationAI · grounded
The model leans toward a Villarreal result here, shaped mainly by Pi-rating edge and Attacking xG form (home). The probabilities come from the model — the prose only narrates them.
The AI writes the prose. It never produces or adjusts a probability — those come only from the model.
How we make these predictionsTop model factors
Pi-rating edge0.67Attacking xG form (home)2.31Home form (home)8.17Rest-days edge-3.10What's at stake (home)0.01Attacking xG form (away)0.57
The driver chips attribute the gradient-boosted component of an ensemble whose headline is additionally anchored to the market where a consensus exists — they explain that part of the number, not all of it.